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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Wild scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Keegan Kolesar's goal at 4:09 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were MIN 16, VGK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 33 of 37 (.892); Adin Hill stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Dorofeyev (2 G, 1 A), 2. Keegan Kolesar (1 G), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    K. Kolesar1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN170603116
VGKVGK09117311437

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(6)
    Z. Bogosian (6)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:09

2nd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(15)PPG
    M. Stone (25), S. Theodore (30)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:21

3rd period

  1. VGK
    K. Kolesar(10)
    Z. Whitecloud (4), N. Roy (8)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:09
  2. VGK
    T. Hertl(12)
    P. Dorofeyev (8), S. Theodore (31)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:40
  3. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(16)PPG
    M. Stone (26), T. Hertl (17)
    snapxG 0.17Video
    1-4
    17:48

Penalties

MIN 15 PIM·VGK 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:50VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 4:50MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
  • 17:11MINYakov Trenin · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min

2nd

  • 3:19MINDevin Shore · Trippingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 3:23MINJake Middleton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:26VGKIvan Barbashev · Slashingdrawn by Declan Chisholm2 min

3rd

  • 6:53MINZach Bogosian · Holdingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 9:41VGKBrett Howden · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 17:02MINZach Bogosian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Keegan Kolesar, 3rd 4:09 — VGK 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.35K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.22B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.22W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.21P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.20P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.19P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.12T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.12V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.00I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 4.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
1.91 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN14%86%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 4.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
16
Shots on goal
37
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
2/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
27
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
10
19
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5J. MiddletonD000-100.00332—25:00
24Z. BogosianD011-100.03004—24:45
47D. ChisholmD000-110.03120—21:49
36M. ZuccarelloR000030.20010—21:39
4J. MerrillD000+100.00130—21:22
12M. BoldyL000010.21200—21:02
23M. RossiC000020.420107120:16
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.164104219:03
89F. GaudreauC000+100.002105615:19
44T. DermottD000000.01000—13:40
38R. HartmanR101+140.2501010012:58
17M. FolignoL000000.00405—12:40
90M. JohanssonL000+100.07010—12:32
22M. KhusnutdinovC000-220.321006711:30
13Y. TreninC000000.00602010:52
55D.JiricekD000000.00010—10:11
19D. ShoreC000-220.09212008:21
39B. JonesC000-210.0710010008:21
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)37334.8924.48+0.4859:56

Season series

VGK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).