Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan McDonagh's goal at 13:30 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.0; shots on goal were PIT 15, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anthony Cirelli (2 G), 3. Ryan McDonagh (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A

- ★★A. Cirelli2 G

- ★★★R. McDonagh1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-112:13
0-213:30
0-315:12
0-416:00
2nd period
0-515:31
0-619:19
3rd period
1-614:15
Penalties
1st
- 7:02
Rickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
2nd
- 7:05
Emil Lilleberg · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
- 13:39
Ryan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
3rd
- 3:53
Bokondji Imama · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
- 3:53
Bokondji Imama · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
- 3:53
Bokondji Imama · Misconduct10 min
- 4:48
Nikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan McDonagh, 1st 13:30 — 67% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.01 G
- All situations
- 6 G2.7
- 0.81 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.4
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 0.97 – 2.69
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 15
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/4
- 18
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 37
- Hits
- 10
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 9
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 3-0
3@
2OTFinal
5@
2Final
1@
6this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















