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Penguins at Lightning
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV FDSNSUN, SN-PIT·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan McDonagh's goal at 13:30 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.0; shots on goal were PIT 15, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anthony Cirelli (2 G), 3. Ryan McDonagh (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT040417115
TBLTBL41121006627

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul (18), R. McDonagh (22)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:13
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:30
  3. TBL
    B. Hagel (46), J. Moser (10)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    15:12
  4. TBL
    wristxG 0.31win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    16:00

2nd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    15:31
  2. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.10Video
    0-6
    19:19

3rd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.06Video
    1-6
    14:15

Penalties

PIT 18 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:02PITRickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 7:05TBLEmil Lilleberg · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 13:39PITRyan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 3:53PITBokondji Imama · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 3:53PITBokondji Imama · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 3:53PITBokondji Imama · Misconduct10 min
  • 4:48TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPIT goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan McDonagh, 1st 13:30 — TBL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.31A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.25B. Point · On goal · xG 0.21B. Point · Missed · xG 0.17B. Point · Missed · xG 0.13V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTBL
1.01 G
All situations
6 G2.7
0.81 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT17%83%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.97 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTBL
15
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
1/4
18
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
10
16
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-200.06110—24:44
58K. LetangD000-230.09220—22:43
17B. RustR101-210.06110—21:38
24M. GrzelcykD011-200.00210—20:00
20C. TimminsD000-220.19000—19:46
87S. CrosbyC011-220.042105719:41
46B. LizotteC000-200.092006318:30
67R. RakellR000-110.02122—18:25
19C. DewarC000-320.1822010017:46
55N. AcciariC000-210.034305716:13
27R. GravesD000000.03222—16:01
23V. KolyachonokD000000.00200—15:49
13K. HayesR000000.006005511:58
15J. KoppanenL000010.033007111:58
43D. HeinenL000000.040003311:48
53P. TomasinoR000000.00000—11:24
52E. BemstromC000010.09000008:03
14B. ImamaL000010.007114—05:41
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic20182.9001.80-0.2044:00
35T. Jarry(L)734.4290.94-3.0616:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).