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Lightning at Penguins
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Final/OTTV FDSNSUN, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Brayden Point scoring at 3:58. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 3:58 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 1.3; shots on goal were TBL 35, PIT 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.7 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G), 3. Jesse Puljujarvi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Puljujarvi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL01001221211335
PITPIT19160400219

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Puljujarvi(3)
    M. Pettersson (8), S. Poulin (1)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:05

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(7)PPG
    S. Crosby (13), M. Grzelcyk (8)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:05

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(9)
    R. McDonagh (6), D. Raddysh (3)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:41
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(5)
    V. Hedman (13), D. Raddysh (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    12:49

Overtime

  1. TBL
    B. Point(10)
    J. Moser (5), C. Geekie (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:58

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:37PITBryan Rust · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 15:35PITJack St. Ivany · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 11:39TBLLuke Glendening · Interferencedrawn by Jack St. Ivany2 min
  • 16:29TBLGage Goncalves · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 3:19PITErik Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalTBL goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, OT 3:58 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01O. Pickering · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT2 G · 1.3 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPIT
3.63 G
All situations
2 G1.3
2.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL86%14%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 1.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPIT
35
Shots on goal
19
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+130.12030—25:47
86N. KucherovR000+140.36010—24:51
59J. GuentzelC000020.480005023:52
21B. PointC202+250.460005823:43
38B. HagelL000+130.48100—22:27
27R. McDonaghD011+100.00020—21:44
71A. CirelliC101+120.490105020:59
90J. MoserD011010.00110—20:46
81E. CernakD000+100.00010—19:42
43D. RaddyshD022+130.22000—18:07
14C. GeekieC011+110.203006713:12
93G. GoncalvesC000010.03102012:58
41M. ChaffeeR000+130.38000—12:44
78E. LillebergD000-100.00320—11:48
20N. PaulL000030.3110010010:38
23M. EyssimontC000-120.04000008:42
11L. GlendeningC000010.010028008:39
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.0210010007:49
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)19172.8951.30-0.7063:58

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).