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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN3·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Neal Pionk's goal at 11:05 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 33% to 46%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.4, NSH 3.6; shots on goal were WPG 23, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Juuse Saros stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (22 saves, .957), 2. Tommy Novak (1 G), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros22 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    NSH
    T. Novak1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1601304123
NSHNSH21406011231

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(22)
    G. Nyquist (12), R. O'Reilly (21)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:26
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(9)
    R. Kupari (3), A. Iafallo (12)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:05
  3. NSH
    T. Novak(12)PPG
    J. Barron (4), L. Evangelista (11)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:29

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:55NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 13:58WPGAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Englund2 min

2nd

  • 11:05WPGLogan Stanley · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 15:11NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 15:17NSHNick Blankenburg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:02NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

3rd

  • 5:58WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Neal Pionk, 1st 11:05 — WPG 33% → 46%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Del Gaizo · Missed · xG 0.47C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.44N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.35J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.35R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.23F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.18T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.02M. Del Gaizo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
3.41 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
1.60 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG68%32%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000040.49000—27:44
81K. ConnorL000071.27110—24:57
55M. ScheifeleC000000.234004223:44
2D. DeMeloD000000.07220—23:05
13G. VilardiC000010.19200022:12
54D. SambergD000000.00010—21:51
4N. PionkD101030.12312—21:26
27N. EhlersL000040.39100—17:57
7V. NamestnikovC000010.181005415:35
91C. PerfettiC000000.04100015:13
17A. LowryC000-100.002305414:20
62N. NiederreiterR000-100.20200—11:50
22M. AppletonC000-120.06110011:48
64L. StanleyD000010.01102—10:44
15R. KupariC011+100.080106709:55
24H. FleuryD000000.03200—09:33
19D. GustafssonC000+100.001008007:37
9A. IafalloL011+100.00002—07:32
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)31292.9352.32+0.3257:26

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).