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Predators at Jets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSO, Prime·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan DeMelo's goal at 17:18 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were NSH 22, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (2 G), 3. Dylan DeMelo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. DeMelo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH090706022
WPGWPG0918211328

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    D. DeMelo(1)
    M. Barron (2), L. Stanley (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:18

3rd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(16)PPG
    N. Ehlers (20), K. Connor (28)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:44
  2. WPG
    G. Vilardi(17)PPG
    K. Connor (29), N. Ehlers (21)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:46

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:12NSHJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 15:31WPGJosh Morrissey · High stickingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

2nd

  • 7:21NSHColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 14:28NSHJeremy Lauzon · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 20:00WPGLogan Stanley · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

3rd

  • 12:17NSHJeremy Lauzon · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 13:29NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan DeMelo, 2nd 17:18 — WPG 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.40G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.24V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.24M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.23G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.21M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.17N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.09M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 4.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsWPG
1.50 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH15%85%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsWPG
22
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
21
17
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000020.03130—21:57
59R. JosiD000-120.17030—21:05
37N. BlankenburgD000020.21130—19:19
83A. WilsbyD000030.06000—18:29
2L. SchennD000000.00510—18:13
3J. LauzonD000-100.11406—18:04
47M. McCarronC000010.061105016:16
9F. ForsbergL000-110.17010—15:28
14G. NyquistR000020.10000—15:25
91S. StamkosC000-110.082003015:20
81J. MarchessaultR000-110.06100—15:08
17M. JankowskiL000010.183103014:57
68Z. L'HeureuxL000000.00520—14:33
90R. O'ReillyC000000.000006714:29
77L. EvangelistaR000030.13000—14:24
10C. SissonsC000020.092025014:17
82T. NovakC000000.031002512:38
12V. HinostrozaC000010.05200011:27
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)28253.8933.97+0.9759:52

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).