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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 3:20 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 54% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were WPG 24, NSH 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roman Josi (2 G), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG091807124
NSHNSH15018313436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(3)
    J. Marchessault (8), M. Jankowski (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:55

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(4)
    N. Niederreiter (6), M. Appleton (7)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:58

3rd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(7)PPG
    F. Forsberg (8), B. Skjei (6)
    slapxG 0.27win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:20
  2. NSH
    J. Marchessault(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:04
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(4)EN
    R. O'Reilly (9)
    wristxG 0.51Video
    1-4
    18:40

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:40NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:42WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

2nd

  • 1:28WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 3:07NSHGustav Nyquist · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 7:19NSHCole Smith · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 7:19WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

3rd

  • 1:26WPGJosh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 8:49NSHLuke Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 3rd 3:20 — NSH 54% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.51S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.27F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.21J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.16B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.12M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.05T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.05A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.00Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG50%50%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-130.20052—28:23
2D. DeMeloD000010.00410—23:07
4N. PionkD000020.03210—23:07
81K. ConnorL000-230.41100—20:22
55M. ScheifeleC000-310.202265020:12
13G. VilardiC000-210.280005717:12
17A. LowryC101+110.682004116:15
24H. FleuryD000-110.02020—15:59
22M. AppletonC011030.17110015:39
6C. MillerD000-210.04010—15:00
27N. EhlersL000-140.63200—14:30
91C. PerfettiC000010.04000013:47
7V. NamestnikovC000000.000003313:34
62N. NiederreiterR011010.03000—13:33
9A. IafalloL000010.01100—12:42
36M. BarronC000000.00200011:33
15R. KupariC000000.001006709:08
54D. SambergD000000.12020—09:07
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)35323.9142.86-0.1458:56

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).