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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 19:16 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 31, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. John Gibson stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Coronato (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Klapka (1 G), 3. Dustin Wolf (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Coronato2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Klapka1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11007014131
CGYCGY08212210430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(15)SHG
    J. LaCombe (15)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:54

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Klapka(1)
    M. Pospisil (13), J. Bean (5)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:15
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(12)
    M. Coronato (14)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:16

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(12)
    B. Coleman (17)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:10
  2. CGY
    M. Coronato(13)EN
    J. Hanley (3)
    wristxG 0.50Video
    1-4
    17:37

Penalties

ANA 13 PIM·CGY 17 PIM

1st

  • 0:32CGYMartin Pospisil · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 10:20ANACutter Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

2nd

  • 11:33CGYNazem Kadri · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 11:33ANAJacob Trouba · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min
  • 11:33CGYNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Trouba5 min
  • 15:25CGYBrayden Pachal · Hookingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 19:31ANAAlex Killorn · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 19:31CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

3rd

  • 19:35CGYRyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 19:35ANABrian Dumoulin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 19:58CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 20:00ANAJansen Harkins · Roughingdrawn by Clark Bishop2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 2nd 19:16 — CGY 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.50M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.20A. Klapka · Goal · xG 0.18J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.12A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.06A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
2.21 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.30 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA53%47%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
0/1
13
Penalty minutes
17
20
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
25
10
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011010.11220—24:05
34P. MintyukovD000-110.03020—18:20
7R. GudasD000+100.01610—18:12
65J. TroubaD000-200.02115—17:48
17A. KillornL000-220.23102—17:30
43D. HellesonD000-120.06110—17:28
19T. TerryR000-210.12010—17:25
6B. DumoulinD000-200.01112—17:22
11T. ZegrasC000-130.25000017:15
23M. McTavishC000-230.181105017:01
16R. StromeC000-220.190003016:30
77F. VatranoR101-130.15010—15:44
61C. GauthierL000-120.12042—15:16
91L. CarlssonC000-120.100003615:14
21I. LundestromC000+110.011005013:53
13R. FabbriC000-120.11210013:24
20B. LeasonR000040.21410—12:13
38J. HarkinsC000020.26002012:10
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)29263.8972.00-1.0058:45

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).