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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
Final/OTTV Victory+, TVAS·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Jonathan Huberdeau scoring at 2:05. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 2:05 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 33, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 28 (.929); John Gibson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G), 2. Mason McTavish (1 G), 3. Jackson LaCombe (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Huberdeau1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY112190814333
ANAANA0111511101228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Weegar(5)
    B. Coleman (11), J. Hanley (1)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:04

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Killorn(8)
    I. Lundestrom (3), J. LaCombe (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:34
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(15)
    M. Weegar (17), J. Hanley (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:44

3rd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(6)PPG
    C. Gauthier (13), P. Mintyukov (6)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:36

Overtime

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(17)PPG
    M. Coronato (11)
    tip-inxG 0.64win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:05

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·ANA 19 PIM

1st

  • 2:50ANARoss Johnston · High stickingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min
  • 13:19CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Brett Leason2 min

2nd

  • 6:34CGYJakob Pelletier · Roughingdrawn by Drew Helleson2 min
  • 6:34ANADrew Helleson · Kneeingdrawn by Connor Zary5 min
  • 6:34ANADrew Helleson · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 6:17CGYJake Bean · Hookingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min

OT

  • 1:35ANAPavel Mintyukov · Interferencedrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, OT 2:05 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.24L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.16R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.15L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.14B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.10A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.09L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.08B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
4.23 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY83%17%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.09 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
33
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
19
12
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD112+150.42100—26:46
4R. AnderssonD000-130.22010—22:23
20B. ColemanL011+120.51200—20:34
11M. BacklundC000+120.020004520:18
91N. KadriC101+130.480104019:47
10J. HuberdeauL101+140.91102—19:44
27M. CoronatoR011020.11010—19:41
7K. BahlD000010.17000—19:26
24J. BeanD000000.00012—18:16
17Y. SharangovichC000-110.760004017:55
76M. PospisilC000+140.38400015:44
44J. HanleyD022+210.02010—15:25
94B. PachalD000000.00310—15:04
22J. PelletierL000020.04012—13:17
96A. KuzmenkoL000000.0100010011:29
21K. RooneyC000010.0111010010:47
70R. LombergL000010.01010—08:16
47C. ZaryC000010.150102506:37
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)28262.9291.93-0.0762:02

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).