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Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 10:25 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 27, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. John Gibson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Coleman (2 G), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 3. Dustin Wolf (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Coleman2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11301004127
CGYCGY11421218434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:16
  2. ANA
    R. Strome (30), T. Terry (33)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:01

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(14)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:25
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:19

3rd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:17

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:39CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 4:02ANABrett Leason · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:45CGYBrayden Pachal · Cross checkingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 19:36ANARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min

3rd

  • 19:40ANAFrank Vatrano · Holdingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 2nd 10:25 — CGY 49% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.22J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.21B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.19J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.19K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.08M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.04M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.1 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
1.91 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA29%71%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
34
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
14
23
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000-220.12220—23:57
7R. GudasD000-150.07102—22:15
51O. ZellwegerD101010.20150—19:09
43D. HellesonD000010.03200—18:45
11T. ZegrasC000-310.0432010017:45
19T. TerryR011020.21010—17:44
65J. TroubaD000020.01040—17:36
23M. McTavishC000-230.262003816:46
64S. ColangeloR000-200.31310—16:19
17A. KillornL000000.00010—16:15
77F. VatranoR000+130.1641210016:09
16R. StromeC011020.090002015:41
91L. CarlssonC000-100.001103615:37
58O. KylingtonD000000.00020—15:00
61C. GauthierL000040.28300—12:41
21I. LundestromC000000.062205012:10
38J. HarkinsC000010.05310011:55
20B. LeasonR000000.00102—10:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)26233.8852.41-0.5939:41
1L. Dostal871.8750.71-0.2920:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).