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Predators at Sharks
NHL

Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸6
San Jose Sharks
5
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 6-5. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 5-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fedor Svechkov's goal at 8:16 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 50% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 38, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.5 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (3 A), 3. Justus Annunen (30 saves, .857).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Granlund3 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Annunen30 saves, .857

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH312211115638
SJSSJS211311013535

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    G. Nyquist(8)PPG
    T. Novak (8), B. Skjei (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:58
  2. NSH
    T. Novak(7)
    Z. L'Heureux (7), F. Svechkov (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:52
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(17)
    J. Barron (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    6:53
  4. SJS
    W. Duehr(1)
    N. Kovalenko (10), M. Ferraro (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:12
  5. SJS
    M. Ferraro(5)
    M. Granlund (27), T. Liljegren (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:34

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(18)
    C. Sissons (7), B. Skjei (12)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.28win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:38
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(17)PPG
    J. Marchessault (24), R. Josi (26)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +8 ptsVideo
    5-2
    7:07
  3. SJS
    H. Thrun(1)
    A. Wennberg (15), N. Kovalenko (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    12:39
  4. SJS
    F. Zetterlund(14)
    W. Smith (12), M. Granlund (28)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    13:54
  5. SJS
    M. Celebrini(15)PPG
    M. Granlund (29), W. Eklund (27)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +19 ptsVideo
    5-5
    15:21

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Svechkov(6)PPG
    B. Skjei (13), Z. L'Heureux (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +29 ptsVideo
    6-5
    8:16

Penalties

NSH 26 PIM·SJS 27 PIM

1st

  • 2:09SJSFabian Zetterlund · Trippingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 6:54NSHCole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 6:54SJSLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min
  • 6:56SJSBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 6:56NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 6:58SJSTy Dellandrea · Fightingdrawn by Zachary L'Heureux5 min
  • 6:58NSHZachary L'Heureux · Fightingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea5 min

2nd

  • 6:49SJSMikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 10:17NSHSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 14:13NSHCole Smith · Match penaltydrawn by Ty Dellandrea5 min
  • 14:13SJSTimothy Liljegren · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 14:13NSHMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min

3rd

  • 0:48SJSHenry Thrun · Holding the stickdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 6:36SJSBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 11:23SJSJan Rutta · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:24NSHSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Fedor Svechkov, 3rd 8:16 — NSH 50% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.26M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.16W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12W. Duehr · Goal · xG 0.11T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.10L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ferraro · Goal · xG 0.09W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08H. Thrun · Goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.06W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.00T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
4.06 G
All situations
5 G2.5
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G1.3
1.53 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH71%29%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.75 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
38
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/5
Power play
1/4
36
Penalty minutes
27
13
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011020.13010—25:31
76B. SkjeiD033020.07130—24:32
37N. BlankenburgD000020.10050—20:50
90R. O'ReillyC000-110.040304719:52
10C. SissonsC011+110.081103317:23
14G. NyquistR101-210.24000—16:54
68Z. L'HeureuxL022040.57215—16:39
20J. BarronD011+120.08210—16:23
81J. MarchessaultR011040.33000—16:08
91S. StamkosC101040.980045316:03
9F. ForsbergL202+160.58000—14:47
47M. McCarronC000010.040075914:26
83A. WilsbyD000-210.04000—14:21
40F. SvechkovC112-130.131105013:56
2L. SchennD000-110.02100—13:39
82T. NovakC112030.52000012:24
12V. HinostrozaC000-100.00000009:38
36C. SmithR000000.005020—07:39
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(W)35305.8572.46-2.5459:55

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).