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Predators at Sharks
NHL

Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kieffer Bellows's goal at 6:32 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.3, SJS 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 19, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (25 saves, .926), 3. Carl Grundstrom (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    C. Grundstrom1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH072814319
SJSSJS0501329227

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(25)PPG
    F. Svechkov (5), N. Blankenburg (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:11
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(22)PPG
    B. Skjei (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    15:17

3rd period

  1. SJS
    P. Giles(1)
    C. Grundstrom (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:42
  2. SJS
    C. Graf(2)
    W. Smith (21)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:56
  3. NSH
    K. Bellows(1)
    F. Forsberg (34)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:32

Penalties

NSH 14 PIM·SJS 20 PIM

1st

  • 8:30NSHAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 8:30SJSBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min
  • 10:16SJSVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 10:16NSHCole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais5 min
  • 10:16SJSVincent Desharnais · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min
  • 18:10NSHKieffer Bellows · Hookingdrawn by Jimmy Schuldt2 min

2nd

  • 6:49SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 11:28NSHBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 14:05SJSBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 15:39SJSTimothy Liljegren · Interferencedrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min

3rd

  • 18:25SJSAlexander Wennberg · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Kieffer Bellows, 3rd 6:32 — NSH 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.29C. Graf · Goal · xG 0.27M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.21T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.18N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.17W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.13P. Giles · Goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.07W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.06S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schuldt · Missed · xG 0.02W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schuldt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.00T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH41%59%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
19
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/5
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
20
23
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD011-110.05002—21:45
9F. ForsbergL112+150.56000—21:02
90R. O'ReillyC000-100.000008620:25
37N. BlankenburgD011-120.05120—20:14
91S. StamkosC101-210.430006019:50
81J. MarchessaultR000000.00210—19:36
36C. SmithR000010.04505—17:31
47M. McCarronC000000.002105816:55
7M. Del GaizoD000000.00310—16:36
77L. EvangelistaR000-130.24100—15:47
24S. StastneyD000000.00000—15:18
82J. OesterleD000000.00230—14:47
40F. SvechkovC011040.61000014:46
20J. BarronD000000.00130—14:18
10C. SissonsC000010.153003313:10
19J. VranaL000000.08000—12:03
26K. BellowsL101010.08212—11:41
8A. EnglundD000000.00105—10:42
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)27252.9262.51+0.5159:34

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).