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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
5
Nashville Predators
▸7
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 7-5. The Predators came back from 4 goals down. The Sharks led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Blankenburg's goal at 8:09 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 24, NSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 34 of 40 (.850), 2.8 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tommy Novak (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nick Blankenburg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Marchessault1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    T. Novak1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    N. Blankenburg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS4815011524
NSHNSH18218415741

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    M. Celebrini(14)
    C. Ceci (10), W. Eklund (25)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:07
  2. SJS
    L. Kunin(11)
    C. Ceci (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:42
  3. SJS
    M. Granlund(13)
    W. Smith (11), F. Zetterlund (17)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:56
  4. NSH
    T. Novak(6)
    L. Schenn (3), Z. L'Heureux (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:20
  5. SJS
    J. Walman(6)
    A. Wennberg (14)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:31

2nd period

  1. SJS
    M. Granlund(14)PPG
    W. Eklund (26), M. Celebrini (20)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    4:28
  2. NSH
    F. Svechkov(5)PPG
    C. Sissons (6), T. Novak (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-2
    12:40
  3. NSH
    J. Barron(3)
    F. Forsberg (28), S. Stamkos (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:33

3rd period

  1. NSH
    J. Marchessault(15)
    S. Stamkos (16), A. Wilsby (3)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    0:28
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(9)PPG
    F. Forsberg (29), J. Marchessault (21)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +25 ptsVideo
    5-5
    5:23
  3. NSH
    N. Blankenburg(3)
    T. Novak (7), J. Marchessault (22)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +29 ptsVideo
    5-6
    8:09
  4. NSH
    F. Forsberg(16)EN
    R. Josi (25)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-7
    18:38

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:18NSHVinnie Hinostroza · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:23NSHSteven Stamkos · Interferencedrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 2:07SJSJake Walman · Holdingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 4:20NSHBrady Skjei · High stickingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 11:24SJSWill Smith · Holdingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min
  • 16:59NSHAdam Wilsby · Trippingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min

3rd

  • 3:51SJSWilliam Eklund · Holdingdrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Blankenburg, 3rd 8:09 — NSH 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.49F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.44F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.28J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.25F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.22T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.19Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.12J. Barron · Goal · xG 0.11M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.11R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10F. Svechkov · Goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.07J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06N. Blankenburg · Goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH7 G · 4.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
1.95 G
All situations
6 G4.1
1.24 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS29%71%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
41
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96J. WalmanD101+130.15042—22:04
21A. WennbergC011010.220104321:11
38M. FerraroD000-120.12200—20:59
72W. EklundL022-130.30002—20:24
71M. CelebriniC112030.250005719:58
64M. GranlundC202-130.340005019:41
4C. CeciD022+210.03000—19:26
37T. LiljegrenD000-120.12210—19:11
11L. KuninC101030.033005017:37
20F. ZetterlundL011+120.2700010017:05
3H. ThrunD000-100.00010—16:09
51C. GrafR000-100.00010—16:00
2W. SmithC011+100.03002014:51
84J. RuttaD000-100.00000—14:27
15N. KovalenkoR000-100.03100—11:36
23B. GoodrowC000-110.010106710:33
53T. DellandreaC000-100.001006708:37
91C. GrundstromR000-100.00300—06:26
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)40346.8503.18-2.8258:57

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).