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Canadiens at Capitals
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV MNMT, TSN2·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Nick Suzuki scoring at 1:15. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 1:15 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were MTL 30, WSH 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Logan Thompson stopped 18 of 21 (.857). Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G), 2. Ethen Frank (1 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Frank1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL072130812330
WSHWSH16041700217

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:56

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:56
  2. MTL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:22

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:54

Overtime

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.65win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:15

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:09MTLMichael Pezzetta · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 4:18MTLJayden Struble · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 18:54WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

2nd

  • 5:54WSHEthen Frank · Trippingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 8:13WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:58MTLKirby Dach · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:03MTLJayden Struble · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMTL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, OT 1:15 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.25J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.20D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.14T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.10T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.07L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWSH
4.93 G
All situations
2 G2.1
3.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.60 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL88%12%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.87 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
17
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000+220.07000—27:27
21K. GuhleD011+110.07430—23:18
48L. HutsonD011010.21020—23:13
14N. SuzukiC101+261.300102221:34
45A. CarrierD000+120.03020—21:21
13C. CaufieldR112+260.82010—21:05
20J. SlafkovskýL011+110.40010—19:05
71J. EvansC000010.211006018:00
40J. ArmiaR000030.30000—17:08
77K. DachC000-100.122025016:36
72A. XhekajD000-100.00110—15:23
28C. DvorakC000+100.000006914:51
11B. GallagherR000010.23200—13:24
15A. NewhookC000-140.381102213:21
17J. AndersonR101+110.2710010012:36
51E. HeinemanL000010.51200—10:22
47J. StrubleD000000.00214—05:09
55M. PezzettaL000-100.00312—03:05
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)17152.8822.10+0.1061:15

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).