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Capitals at Canadiens
NHL

Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MNMT2, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 11:48 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 35, MTL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Samuel Montembeault stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G), 2. Logan Thompson (22 saves, .917), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson22 saves, .917
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0918318435
MTLMTL2100509224

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:09
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:00

2nd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:33

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas (14), M. Roy (6)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:10
  2. WSH
    P. Dubois (15), A. Protas (15)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:48
  3. WSH
    D. Strome(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:49

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:00MTLKirby Dach · Trippingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min

2nd

  • 12:29WSHLars Eller · Slashingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

3rd

  • 12:12MTLJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 14:24MTLLane Hutson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 18:26WSHJohn Carlson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWSH goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 3rd 11:48 — WSH 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.13L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.10J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.07E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMTL
3.44 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH66%34%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMTL
35
Shots on goal
24
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+140.11042—23:21
3M. RoyD011010.09500—21:52
24C. McMichaelL011020.3000010020:13
6J. ChychrunD011060.23110—20:13
42M. FehérváryD000+100.02430—19:56
38R. SandinD000000.01200—18:28
80P. DuboisC112+230.361005616:37
43T. WilsonR202+240.60210—16:15
17D. StromeC101-120.380004615:48
20L. EllerC000020.201222915:45
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.02020—15:15
21A. ProtasL022+130.12000—14:45
26N. DowdC000020.012107014:43
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00210—14:30
16T. RaddyshR011000.25000—14:29
22B. DuhaimeL000020.14010—13:37
29H. LapierreC000000.09100011:27
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000-130.44200—09:12
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)24222.9172.40+0.4060:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).