Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 11:48 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 35, MTL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Samuel Montembeault stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G), 2. Logan Thompson (22 saves, .917), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Wilson2 G

- ★★L. Thompson22 saves, .917

- ★★★P. Dubois1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-111:09
0-216:00
2nd period
1-20:33
3rd period
2-27:10
3-211:48
4-213:49
Penalties
1st
- 13:00
Kirby Dach · Trippingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min
2nd
- 12:29
Lars Eller · Slashingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
3rd
- 12:12
Josh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
- 14:24
Lane Hutson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 18:26
John Carlson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tom Wilson, 3rd 11:48 — 48% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.44 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.4
- 2.53 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 2.39
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 28
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 12
- Giveaways
- 12
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 2-1
3@
6Final
4@
2this game
3@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















