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Canadiens at Capitals
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Washington Capitals
▸6
FinalTV MNMT, TSN2·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McMichael's goal at 4:21 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 15, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 1.6 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aliaksei Protas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McMichael (1 G), 3. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Protas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL063603315
WSHWSH07313314634

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(6)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (4), J. Carlson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:21
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(10)PPG
    N. Suzuki (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:52
  3. MTL
    B. Gallagher(4)
    L. Hutson (6), C. Dvorak (3)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:31
  4. WSH
    B. Duhaime(1)
    T. Raddysh (2), T. van Riemsdyk (5)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:45
  5. WSH
    J. Vrana(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:39
  6. MTL
    N. Suzuki(4)
    D. Savard (4), L. Hutson (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:00

3rd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(5)
    T. van Riemsdyk (6), T. Wilson (2)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:21
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(3)
    A. Ovechkin (5), D. Strome (9)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    4:57
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(5)
    A. Protas (6), D. Strome (10)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-6
    12:27

Penalties

MTL 15 PIM·WSH 17 PIM

1st

  • 6:06MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 11:07WSHAliaksei Protas · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 20:00WSHConnor McMichael · High stickingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

2nd

  • 2:53MTLKaiden Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 5:55WSHDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 8:09WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:19MTLJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

3rd

  • 9:24WSHBrandon Duhaime · Hookingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 9:49WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 15:48MTLMike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Sgarbossa2 min
  • 16:50MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 16:50WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 16:50MTLJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMTL goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McMichael, 3rd 4:21 — WSH 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.24D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.24T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.22J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.21J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.19T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.19T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.14M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.14P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.14J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.13J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.13C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.11A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.06C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.06D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03D. McIlrath · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.00R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 4.4 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWSH
1.83 G
All situations
6 G4.4
0.62 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL14%86%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 4.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWSH
15
Shots on goal
34
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/6
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
17
23
Hits
22
24
Blocked shots
22
24
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-220.31052—27:46
13C. CaufieldR101020.59000—21:31
21K. GuhleD000-210.03432—21:31
14N. SuzukiC112010.113306321:15
58D. SavardD011+100.00050—20:46
20J. SlafkovskýL000020.11302—19:17
48L. HutsonD022+100.03210—19:00
77K. DachC000000.3201010018:39
15A. NewhookC000010.080004015:59
71J. EvansC000-200.000104414:40
40J. ArmiaR000-110.00210—13:25
11B. GallagherR101-110.06100—12:57
51E. HeinemanL000-110.01110—11:29
91O. KapanenC000-100.000108310:53
52J. BarronD000-200.00110—10:52
17J. AndersonR000-310.0951910010:49
47J. StrubleD000-220.03100—10:31
28C. DvorakC011000.000006310:12
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)34286.8244.39-1.6160:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).