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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 9:36 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were ANA 32, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Adin Hill stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Keegan Kolesar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adin Hill (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    K. Kolesar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Hill31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0707118132
VGKVGK112010211333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    T. Pearson(6)SHG
    K. Kolesar (6)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:19

3rd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(4)
    R. Gudas (6), R. Fabbri (3)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:13
  2. VGK
    T. Hertl(10)
    J. Eichel (36), S. Theodore (24)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +31 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:36
  3. VGK
    K. Kolesar(9)
    W. Karlsson (9), T. Hertl (14)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:50

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:46ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 14:54VGKBrayden McNabb · Holdingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 17:32VGKTanner Laczynski · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min

2nd

  • 7:51VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 15:47ANALeo Carlsson · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 17:24ANARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 6:50VGKKeegan Kolesar · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 9:36 — VGK 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.38J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.36W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.33B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.24T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.21P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.17T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.16J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.13J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.08A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.04C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.04C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 4.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
2.61 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA25%75%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 4.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
32
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19T. TerryR000-140.41000—21:14
2J. LaCombeD000+110.03220—20:27
13R. FabbriC011020.241006720:06
17A. KillornL000-130.0410010019:42
51O. ZellwegerD000-230.09000—18:52
77F. VatranoR000-150.31200—18:50
6B. DumoulinD000-110.01110—18:37
43D. HellesonD000-120.03210—18:15
16R. StromeC000-210.010124717:22
23M. McTavishC101030.281004517:22
65J. TroubaD000-100.00130—16:47
91L. CarlssonC000030.460022516:28
7R. GudasD011+100.00412—16:23
61C. GauthierL000030.20000—16:21
20B. LeasonR000-100.371005015:11
21I. LundestromC000010.111005413:48
38J. HarkinsC000-100.001108009:31
26B. McGinnL000000.00000—01:15
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)22193.8643.12+0.1239:57
36J. Gibson111101.0001.17+1.1717:32

Season series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).