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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 5:18 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 56% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 23, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. James Reimer stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 2. Brett Howden (1 G), 3. Keegan Kolesar (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    K. Kolesar2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1100508123
VGKVGK1601828332

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(2)
    A. Pietrangelo (3), K. Kolesar (1)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:17
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:49

3rd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(1)PPG
    M. Stone (4), J. Eichel (6)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:18
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(1)
    K. Kolesar (2)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:09

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

2nd

  • 4:09ANATrevor Zegras · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 16:43ANAUrho Vaakanainen · Interferencedrawn by Brett Howden2 min

3rd

  • 4:15ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 10:35VGKBrayden McNabb · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 17:39ANAAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 5:18 — VGK 56% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.58B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.31M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.25P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.24I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.21B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.20T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.19T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.19T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.17A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.05C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.05A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 4.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
2.51 G
All situations
3 G4.9
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA17%83%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 4.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.00010—22:49
34P. MintyukovD000+100.04300—21:15
6B. DumoulinD000000.00320—20:39
7R. GudasD000010.02420—20:13
67T. LuneauD000-200.04010—19:33
13R. FabbriC000-130.39310018:02
23M. McTavishC000-100.000105316:28
11T. ZegrasC000-120.18002016:14
91L. CarlssonC000010.070004014:56
21I. LundestromC000000.170205014:33
20B. LeasonR000020.14110—14:19
61C. GauthierL000020.10200—14:18
77F. VatranoR000020.42210—14:09
17A. KillornL000010.08002—13:58
16R. StromeC000050.330024513:48
5U. VaakanainenD000000.03012—13:47
19T. TerryR101030.46010—13:45
26B. McGinnL000000.00510—10:11
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)32293.9064.86+1.8660:00

Season series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).