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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Ducks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Dorofeyev's goal at 4:29 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 74% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 39, ANA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adin Hill (22 saves, .917), 2. Brock McGinn (1 G), 3. Jack Eichel (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Hill22 saves, .917
  2. ★★
    ANA
    B. McGinn1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK18114117339
ANAANA1905110224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.34win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:39
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:11

2nd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:43

3rd period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:29
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:46

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:57ANARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 6:28ANABrett Leason · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 13:26VGKJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 19:56VGKGrigori Denisenko · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min

3rd

  • 11:51VGKBrett Howden · High stickingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 17:31ANAAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev, 3rd 4:29 — VGK 74% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.34F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.21B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.16B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.10T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.09L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.07I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.83 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK68%32%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
39
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
16
18
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000-130.09020—22:44
15N. HanifinD000-240.16020—22:09
3B. McNabbD000+100.02150—21:21
9J. EichelC011+150.350326320:21
71W. KarlssonC000-130.470105019:22
27S. TheodoreD022+130.05020—18:44
2Z. WhitecloudD000+110.03200—17:35
10N. RoyC101+150.530105617:19
49I. BarbashevL000010.03300—16:28
17B. HuttonD000010.02010—15:45
21B. HowdenC000-100.1810210015:12
16P. DorofeyevR101040.40000—14:50
55K. KolesarR000020.47100—14:26
48T. HertlC101-150.782006014:18
70T. PearsonL000010.04000—13:33
26A. HoltzR000010.19100—11:29
22C. SchwindtR011+100.003005009:57
47G. DenisenkoL000000.04502—08:27
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)24222.9172.79+0.7960:00

Season series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).