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Utah Hockey Club at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV Utah16, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Kolyachonok's goal at 8:05 of the second period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — UTA 2.3, COL 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 23, COL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (2 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Cooley (2 A), 3. Karel Vejmelka (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Cooley2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA1102716423
COLCOL0701017124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(11)
    M. Kesselring (11), I. Cole (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:26

2nd period

  1. UTA
    V. Kolyachonok(2)
    L. Cooley (16), D. Guenther (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:05
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(12)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (18), L. Cooley (17)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:52

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(11)
    D. Toews (11), M. Rantanen (25)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:26
  2. UTA
    K. Stenlund(5)EN
    L. Crouse (3)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:49

Penalties

UTA 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:54UTAOlli Maatta · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 9:43COLGivani Smith · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 17:55COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 18:43UTADylan Guenther · High sticking double minordrawn by Samuel Girard4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalUTA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Kolyachonok, 2nd 8:05 — UTA 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.16D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.15V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.03K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCOL
2.33 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA33%67%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
24
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+100.00030—26:56
28I. ColeD011+120.02250—24:52
2O. MaattaD000+130.03022—24:29
7M. KesselringD011030.08120—18:50
92L. CooleyC022+200.133105017:38
8N. SchmaltzC011-100.08010017:18
15A. KerfootC000+110.110001716:47
82K. StenlundC101+130.480107016:21
9C. KellerR000-120.08000—16:20
27B. HaytonC000-100.360004616:06
22J. McBainC000+210.02110015:14
11D. GuentherR213+230.32014—14:57
4J. VälimäkiD000000.10110—14:46
63M. MaccelliL000010.27000—11:51
67L. CrouseL011+100.00130—11:27
17N. BjugstadC000010.021102510:17
53M. CarconeL000010.07000—10:04
52V. KolyachonokD101+120.10010—09:47
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)24231.9582.34+1.3460:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).