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Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV ESPN2, SN·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 14:44 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were COL 37, UTA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (3 G), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (34 saves, .971), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL014111312437
UTAUTA01107117135

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(11)
    N. MacKinnon (44), S. Malinski (4)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:52

3rd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(6)PPG
    M. Sergachev (19), L. Cooley (23)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:42
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(12)
    V. Nichushkin (6), N. MacKinnon (45)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:44
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(20)EN
    N. MacKinnon (46)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:10
  4. COL
    A. Lehkonen(13)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.42Video
    4-1
    19:34

Penalties

COL 11 PIM·UTA 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:10UTABarrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 12:29COLGivani Smith · Interferencedrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

2nd

  • 12:29COLJere Innala · Trippingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 15:16UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mackenzie Blackwood2 min
  • 19:52UTABarrett Hayton · Fightingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon5 min
  • 19:52COLNathan MacKinnon · Fightingdrawn by Barrett Hayton5 min

3rd

  • 2:36COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCOL goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 3rd 14:44 — COL 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.28M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.25L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.23C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.20D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.16N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.14J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.10O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.09J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.04I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.00K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA1 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsUTA
4.62 G
All situations
1 G3.2
2.72 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL51%49%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsUTA
37
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
10
12
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000+340.16110—25:17
7D. ToewsD000+120.16100—25:12
49S. GirardD000+130.04040—21:35
13V. NichushkinR011+330.08220—21:05
96M. RantanenR101+231.46012—20:03
42J. MansonD000+130.06210—19:42
29N. MacKinnonC033+340.420054219:08
62A. LehkonenL303+340.90310—18:48
37C. MittelstadtC000+100.010105617:42
20R. ColtonC000020.2320010017:06
25L. O'ConnorR000000.0600010016:47
17P. KellyC000040.591104716:23
94J. KivirantaL000020.3320010015:10
44C. de HaanD000+100.00100—14:39
70S. MalinskiD011+110.01000—10:35
22J. InnalaL000010.14202—05:57
82I. IvanC000000.0000010005:07
55G. SmithR000010.01202—04:38
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)35341.9713.18+2.1860:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).