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Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV Utah16, ALT·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 18:20 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 26, UTA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G, 2 A), 2. Justus Annunen (25 saves, .962), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Mittelstadt1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Annunen25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21221014526
UTAUTA05010111126

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(7)PPG
    M. Rantanen (8), C. Mittelstadt (3)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:54
  2. COL
    C. Makar(3)
    M. Rantanen (9), N. Kovalenko (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:20

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Mittelstadt(5)
    S. Malinski (2), N. Kovalenko (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:25
  2. COL
    I. Ivan(1)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (10), C. Mittelstadt (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    17:33

3rd period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(3)
    M. Maccelli (4), I. Cole (2)
    backhandxG 0.13Video
    4-1
    15:28
  2. COL
    J. Kiviranta(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05Video
    5-1
    16:07

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:17COLJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 7:36UTAMichael Kesselring · Hookingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 8:05UTAIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

2nd

  • 0:44COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 9:38UTALawson Crouse · Interferencedrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 16:08UTADylan Guenther · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:17COLParker Kelly · Trippingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCOL goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 1st 18:20 — COL 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.20C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.18K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.17C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.13B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.06J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.06J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.05L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lamoureux · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lamoureux · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA1 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsUTA
1.95 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL40%60%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsUTA
26
Shots on goal
26
28%
Faceoffs
72%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD000010.03120—22:47
8C. MakarD101+160.41020—22:36
96M. RantanenR022+100.00010—21:29
29N. MacKinnonC011+130.361103820:57
42J. MansonD000000.03014—19:53
7D. ToewsD000+130.11200—18:48
37C. MittelstadtC123010.110002918:16
94J. KivirantaL101+110.05220—17:00
44C. de HaanD000+110.01330—16:48
17P. KellyC000010.201323316:43
28M. WoodL000+120.1310010014:57
25L. O'ConnorR000010.125001414:41
70S. MalinskiD011+110.02130—14:40
51N. KovalenkoR022+110.00300—13:17
82I. IvanC101+110.050003312:50
20R. ColtonC101030.24100011:07
36M. StienburgC000000.00300009:36
14C. WagnerR000000.00310—07:46
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Annunen(W)26251.9622.37+1.3759:49

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).