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Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 10:35 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 22, NJD 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.4 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (20 saves, .909), 2. Jesper Bratt (2 G, 1 A), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom20 saves, .909
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Hamilton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR170718222
NJDNJD191824421

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:43
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.27win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:45

2nd period

  1. NJD
    S. Noesen(10)PPG
    J. Hughes (16), J. Bratt (17)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:46

3rd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:12
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.06win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:35
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:05

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:55NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 18:46CARShayne Gostisbehere · High stickingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 19:49CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 19:43NJDPaul Cotter · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

3rd

  • 12:55CARJackson Blake · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 3rd 10:35 — NJD 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.27S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.15N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.13J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.08E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.06L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.00L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.00T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
1.62 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR30%70%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
22
Shots on goal
21
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
25
16
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000-120.07020—23:18
20S. AhoC000-120.052006721:25
74J. SlavinD000-100.06010—21:12
88M. NecasC011020.220005020:40
7D. OrlovD011+120.10100—20:04
96J. RoslovicC101020.220005019:59
5J. ChatfieldD000+110.02120—18:57
4S. GostisbehereD011-110.15112—18:40
48J. MartinookL000-100.01400—17:03
82J. KotkaniemiC000+110.001103316:36
26S. WalkerD000-110.07120—15:59
37A. SvechnikovR101030.29000—15:17
53J. BlakeR000-110.08012—14:58
18J. DruryC000-100.000005612:17
50E. RobinsonL011+100.14000—12:16
11J. StaalC000030.080125811:53
28W. CarrierL000000.00000—10:21
27T. JostC000-110.03100007:34
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Martin(L)21174.8102.65-1.3556:21

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).