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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Hughes's goal at 4:15 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.3, NJD 3.4; shots on goal were CAR 31, NJD 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.9 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jacob Markstrom (29 saves, .935), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    L. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11011407231
NJDNJD2721006423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(9)
    J. Blake (4), B. Burns (8)
    pokexG 0.72win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:03
  2. NJD
    O. Palat(7)
    J. Kovacevic (10), J. Siegenthaler (7)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:12
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(18)
    S. Noesen (10), L. Hughes (14)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:54

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(3)
    J. Roslovic (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:22
  2. NJD
    L. Hughes(3)
    B. Pesce (5), J. Bratt (32)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:15
  3. NJD
    D. Mercer(9)
    J. Hughes (31), B. Dillon (9)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:47

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:15NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

2nd

  • 18:13NJDBrett Pesce · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 18:13NJDBrett Pesce · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 18:13CARTyson Jost · Roughingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Hughes, 2nd 4:15 — NJD 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.83N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.49D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.34N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.27L. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.20D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.15O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.12O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.07P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
3.32 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.72 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR71%29%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
23
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. OrlovD000-300.01410—21:43
8B. BurnsD112030.32020—21:38
74J. SlavinD000+120.12100—21:28
5J. ChatfieldD000-210.02000—18:54
26S. WalkerD000040.43200—18:06
88M. NecasC000010.0820010017:38
20S. AhoC000-100.004103517:24
24S. JarvisR000-220.14210—16:57
53J. BlakeR011+130.27020—16:21
96J. RoslovicC011-230.09010016:11
82J. KotkaniemiC000020.282002915:56
37A. SvechnikovR000030.15200—15:55
4S. GostisbehereD000000.05100—15:51
27T. JostC000+100.060024014:25
11J. StaalC000-210.131205713:54
28W. CarrierL000-130.27000—13:47
48J. MartinookL000-110.02010—13:40
50E. RobinsonL101+120.8430010013:04
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)23194.8262.05-1.9557:08

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).