Skip to content

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV BSSO, MSGSN·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shayne Gostisbehere's goal at 19:23 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 26, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jackson Blake (1 G), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0817111226
CARCAR08213210431

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:16
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:55
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:23

3rd period

  1. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:16
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:16
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(1)EN
    wristxG 0.76win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:24

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

2nd

  • 7:17NJDNathan Bastian · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 11:55CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 13:42CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Seamus Casey2 min
  • 14:27CARJordan Martinook · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Shayne Gostisbehere, 2nd 19:23 — CAR 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.76J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.27A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.21E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.16J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.15E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.14J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.11E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.08S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD39%61%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
20
25
Blocked shots
16
22
Giveaways
23
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000-310.06130—23:57
86J. HughesC112030.370102220:55
13N. HischierC101-110.202005820:26
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.01120—19:50
8J. KovacevicD011-120.03120—19:35
17S. NemecD000+110.03010—19:15
91D. MercerC000+120.09040018:50
63J. BrattL022-140.43120—18:27
5B. DillonD000-200.00520—17:19
24S. CaseyD000+120.10010—15:57
11S. NoesenR000-200.0433010015:08
28T. MeierR000030.30210—14:35
47P. CotterL000-140.59200—14:02
56E. HaulaL000-110.051104513:55
90T. TatarL000000.02000—13:32
18O. PalatL000-200.00300—11:55
42C. LazarC000-210.083004011:15
14N. BastianR000-200.09122—09:39
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)30273.9003.08+0.0859:28

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).