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Sabres at Flyers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
FinalTV NBCSP, MSG-B·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Sanheim's goal at 16:01 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were BUF 25, PHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.9 goals below expected; Ivan Fedotov stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Travis Sanheim (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ivan Fedotov (23 saves, .920), 3. Travis Konecny (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Fedotov23 saves, .920
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0801126225
PHIPHI21021418532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Foerster(3)PPG
    A. Richard (3), J. Farabee (5)
    pokexG 0.64win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:57
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(5)
    E. Zamula (5), T. Konecny (11)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:01

2nd period

  1. PHI
    E. Zamula(1)
    A. Richard (4), M. Michkov (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:08
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(10)
    M. Michkov (9), T. Sanheim (6)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:07

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(5)PPG
    A. Tuch (12), J. Zucker (9)
    slapxG 0.04Video
    1-4
    10:06
  2. BUF
    R. McLeod(6)
    J. Peterka (9), R. Dahlin (11)
    wristxG 0.60Video
    2-4
    18:55
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(11)EN
    S. Couturier (6)
    wristxG 0.95Video
    2-5
    19:42

Penalties

BUF 12 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:44BUFConnor Clifton · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 12:58BUFZach Benson · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

2nd

  • 10:39PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Jiri Kulich2 min
  • 10:53BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 15:22PHIEmil Andrae · Hookingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 16:24BUFRasmus Dahlin · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 17:07BUFZach Benson · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 17:07PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min

3rd

  • 9:57PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 10:26BUFNicolas Aube-Kubel · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 13:03PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Jiri Kulich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Sanheim, 1st 16:01 — PHI 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.95T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.64T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.23T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.21T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.17T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.17N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.15O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.14R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · Goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 4.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
2.22 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF36%64%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
32
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
25
18
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD112-150.12124—25:00
25O. PowerD000-210.08100—23:13
89A. TuchR011-100.24010—22:10
4B. ByramD000-210.08000—22:07
77J. PeterkaR011-140.21200—20:10
71R. McLeodC101020.611205018:16
24D. CozensC000-230.290304517:38
17J. ZuckerL011020.11000—17:25
78J. BrysonD000000.01010—16:57
75C. CliftonD000-110.02212—14:25
9Z. BensonL000-200.16004—14:20
19P. KrebsC000000.080006313:49
20J.KulichC000020.14010012:49
8D. GilbertD000000.00210—12:36
22J. QuinnR000-100.00000—12:10
81S. LaffertyC000-120.011005611:25
29B. MalenstynL000010.022005010:54
96N. Aube-KubelR000010.07102—10:33
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi(L)31274.8713.05-0.9555:04

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).