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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, SN1·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 2:38 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Kevin Lankinen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Brannstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Brannstrom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1907013129
VANVAN01221416332

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:00

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:23
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:38

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:19

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 20:00CGYDaniil Miromanov · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 8:31VANDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 11:14CGYRyan Lomberg · Slashingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

3rd

  • 9:35VANElias Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 13:48CGYAndrei Kuzmenko · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 2nd 2:38 — VAN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.53J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.16A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.15J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.12T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04E. Brannstrom · Goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
2.01 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY31%69%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
32
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
16
19
Giveaways
32
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000020.04000—24:54
52M. WeegarD000050.12100—22:26
7K. BahlD000000.01210—20:54
11M. BacklundC000-100.000004120:42
10J. HuberdeauL000-100.01100—18:45
20B. ColemanL000020.20010—18:26
27M. CoronatoR000-130.11000—18:00
91N. KadriC000060.330104517:10
62D. MiromanovD000000.00002—17:00
17Y. SharangovichC000020.080005016:58
47C. ZaryC000-120.19000016:37
8T. BarrieD000-110.01110—16:02
94B. PachalD000-100.00120—15:45
96A. KuzmenkoL000-120.26002—14:50
76M. PospisilC000-100.092004012:47
58J. KirklandC101+110.28210009:39
21K. RooneyC000+120.171005709:04
70R. LombergL000+110.11202—08:02
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)32293.9063.03+0.0357:36

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).