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Flames at Canucks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸6
Vancouver Canucks
5
Final/OTTV SNP, SN1·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-5 in overtime, Connor Zary scoring at 1:33. The Flames came back from three goals down. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Zary's goal at 1:33 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.3, VAN 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 26, VAN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.6 goals below expected; Arturs Silovs stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Zary (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brock Boeser (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    C. Zary1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Mantha1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY151103912626
VANVAN415031600524

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    D. Sprong(1)PPG
    F. Hronek (1), D. Heinen (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:40
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(1)PPG
    J. DeBrusk (1), E. Pettersson (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:48
  3. VAN
    C. Garland(1)
    N. Hoglander (1), A. Räty (1)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:16
  4. CGY
    A. Mantha(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:49
  5. VAN
    B. Boeser(2)
    J. Miller (1), Q. Hughes (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:18

2nd period

  1. CGY
    R. Andersson(1)
    N. Kadri (1), A. Kuzmenko (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:01

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Pospisil(1)
    A. Mantha (1), K. Bahl (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:41
  2. CGY
    M. Weegar(1)PPG
    C. Zary (1), N. Kadri (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-4
    8:16
  3. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(1)
    B. Pachal (1), J. Bean (1)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +34 ptsVideo
    5-4
    10:40
  4. VAN
    J. Miller(1)
    Q. Hughes (2)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +46 ptsVideo
    5-5
    18:23

Overtime

  1. CGY
    C. Zary(1)
    M. Pospisil (1), R. Andersson (1)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +51 ptsVideo
    6-5
    1:33

Penalties

CGY 17 PIM·VAN 15 PIM

1st

  • 2:01VANDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 7:41CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 7:41CGYRyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 7:41VANVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 7:41CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 7:41VANDerek Forbort · Roughingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 11:19CGYMikael Backlund · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 13:39CGYAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 15:17CGYMartin Pospisil · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 18:53CGYAnthony Mantha · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
  • 18:53VANJ.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min

2nd

  • 4:26VANVincent Desharnais · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 7:18VANKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Connor Zary, OT 1:33 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.30B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.20N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.17J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.17D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.16B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.13K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.11T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02N. Aman · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN5 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
2.36 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.94 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY49%51%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
26
Shots on goal
24
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
2/4
17
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
17
22
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD101050.38250—22:33
4R. AnderssonD112+130.11060—22:03
91N. KadriC022+120.151006321:50
11M. BacklundC000000.011124221:19
10J. HuberdeauL101040.09000—20:19
94B. PachalD011000.01210—18:19
7K. BahlD011+100.02210—18:16
24J. BeanD011+100.00010—18:11
47C. ZaryC112+130.50100018:09
20B. ColemanL000-220.102105017:53
62D. MiromanovD000000.00020—17:47
39A. ManthaR112+210.24107—16:27
76M. PospisilC112+120.081222515:47
96A. KuzmenkoL011+120.21000—15:22
29S. HonzekL000+110.23210—13:11
70R. LombergL000-100.00202—10:54
43A. KlapkaR000010.1141410008:48
21K. RooneyC000000.00000001:03
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)24195.7922.37-2.6361:33

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).