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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SNP, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 9:18 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were VAN 24, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Zary (1 G), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    C. Zary1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0110815124
CGYCGY11206211329

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.43win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:31

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(14)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:15
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +31 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:18
  3. CGY
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.50win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:58

Penalties

VAN 25 PIM·CGY 25 PIM

1st

  • 7:01CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 7:01VANJ.T. Miller · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

2nd

  • 7:10VANErik Brannstrom · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 7:10CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom5 min
  • 7:12CGYKevin Bahl · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
  • 7:12VANJ.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Bahl5 min
  • 10:03VANNoah Juulsen · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 10:03CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
  • 10:03VANNoah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 10:46VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 13:14CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Derek Forbort5 min
  • 13:14VANDerek Forbort · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 13:47VANVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 13:47CGYBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 16:16CGYMikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

3rd

  • 5:37CGYBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 9:18 — CGY 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.50M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.50C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.43Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.30N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.23Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.13J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.12M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.12B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.08M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
1.81 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN35%65%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
24
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
25
Penalty minutes
25
29
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000000.03302—23:33
7C. SoucyD000-210.03310—21:33
8C. GarlandR000-220.091105020:07
24P. SuterC000-200.000004719:27
47N. JuulsenD000-100.01234—19:24
6B. BoeserR101-150.41000—18:17
27D. ForbortD000000.00115—18:01
26E. BrannstromD011-110.12145—17:40
9J. MillerC011050.413275417:36
74J. DeBruskL000-130.091005016:57
73V. DesharnaisD000-100.00242—16:15
20D. HeinenL000-100.00200—16:11
53T. BluegerC000-110.291006415:36
44K. SherwoodL000-210.01300—14:16
81D. JoshuaC000-100.0030010011:59
21N. HoglanderL000010.07100—09:49
63M. SassonC000020.140005008:49
34P. Di GiuseppeL000020.10200—08:29
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)28262.9292.62+0.6258:01

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).