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New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

Final/OTTV MSGSN2, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Jack Hughes scoring at 2:35. The Devils came back from two goals down. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 2:35 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 33, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Ilya Sorokin stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G, 1 A), 2. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dawson Mercer (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD01011021211433
NYINYI150621001322

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:09

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:57

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +32 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:30
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:26
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:33
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.06win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:10

Overtime

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.23win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:35

Penalties

NJD 0 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:14NYIPierre Engvall · Holdingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

2nd

  • 5:17NYIDennis Cholowski · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, OT 2:35 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.20B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.16M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.16S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.15B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.11G. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cholowski · Goal · xG 0.08S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.08P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02I. George · Missed · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01I. George · On goal · xG 0.00P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
3.24 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD62%38%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
33
Shots on goal
22
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
34
10
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
16
14
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91D. MercerC101+130.22000022:34
71J. SiegenthalerD011+100.04100—22:30
13N. HischierC000+210.100005621:32
7D. HamiltonD033+150.31130—21:13
86J. HughesC213+150.871102521:05
8J. KovacevicD000+110.08210—20:39
43L. HughesD000-210.05100—20:29
28T. MeierR000020.32210—18:56
63J. BrattL011+110.22110—18:45
22B. PesceD000-210.18000—18:00
56E. HaulaL000000.001006717:38
5B. DillonD000-110.05410—16:55
18O. PalatL000-110.03100—16:35
47P. CotterL011+210.12000—16:25
11S. NoesenR101+170.51610—16:11
90T. TatarL000-210.03000—08:25
37J. DowlingC000-210.041105005:45
23K. MacDermidL000-210.02200—04:36
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)22193.8642.55-0.4562:07

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).