New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Jack Hughes scoring at 2:35. The Devils came back from two goals down. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 2:35 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 33, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Ilya Sorokin stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G, 1 A), 2. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dawson Mercer (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Hughes2 G, 1 A

- ★★S. Holmstrom1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Mercer1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-113:09
2nd period
1-15:57
3rd period
1-210:30
1-312:26
2-315:33
3-319:10
Overtime
4-32:35
Penalties
1st
- 8:14
Pierre Engvall · Holdingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
2nd
- 5:17
Dennis Cholowski · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jack Hughes, OT 2:35 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.24 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.5
- 2.53 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 34
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 11
- Giveaways
- 16
- 14
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-1
4@
3OTFinal
4@
3OTthis game
1@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















