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New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV MSGSN2, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 1:09. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 1:09 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 30, NJD 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Sorokin (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI2131120411430
NJDNJD1811411202336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:23
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:36
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:03

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:31
  2. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:28

3rd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:31

Overtime

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.23win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:09

Penalties

NYI 9 PIM·NJD 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:16NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 12:05NJDBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

2nd

  • 2:55NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min
  • 2:55NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 2:55NJDKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
  • 16:10NJDJesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 18:56NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 8:59NJDDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 1:09 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.31N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.29J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.24D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.20D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.17T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.15L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.14T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.12D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.00K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 3.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI29%71%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
36
63%
Faceoffs
38%
1/4
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
32
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD011-140.07220—25:08
28A. RomanovD011010.03530—21:51
3A. PelechD011+130.04310—21:45
6R. PulockD011+200.00312—20:50
13M. BarzalC011040.23120020:27
10S. HolmstromR000-100.07010—20:10
14B. HorvatC101020.300007519:33
29B. NelsonC112+110.120006019:33
21K. PalmieriC112+120.14110018:30
7M. TsyplakovR000+110.1140010018:09
44J. PageauC011020.203005817:08
27A. LeeL101060.36100—14:44
2M. ReillyD000-110.08100—13:08
53C. CizikasC000-100.023105011:52
24S. MayfieldD000-200.00227—11:35
26O. WahlstromR000000.00000—09:36
32K. MacLeanC000-120.343005708:26
12L. FoudyC000-110.12010007:02
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)36333.9173.57+0.5761:09

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).