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Hurricanes at Islanders
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV ESPN2, BSSO·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 7:14 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.1 to 1.2; shots on goal were CAR 22, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Semyon Varlamov stopped 8 of 8 (1.000). Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A), 2. Brent Burns (1 G), 3. Pierre Engvall (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    P. Engvall1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR2911003322
NYINYI01525011231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(1)
    M. Necas (2), T. Teravainen (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:46
  2. CAR
    D. Orlov(1)
    A. Svechnikov (3), J. Guentzel (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:25

2nd period

  1. NYI
    P. Engvall(1)
    A. Lee (2), A. Pelech (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:48
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(2)
    A. Svechnikov (4), J. Chatfield (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:14
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)
    K. Palmieri (1), R. Pulock (1)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:39

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:24CARDmitry Orlov · Interferencedrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 18:57NYIserved by P. Engvall · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 18:37CARJack Drury · Holdingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
  • 19:45NYINoah Dobson · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCAR goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 7:14 — CAR 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.44B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.32P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.16M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYI
1.23 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR32%68%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.24 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
31
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
33
15
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD101+110.01000—22:17
74J. SlavinD000+130.11020—21:17
76B. SkjeiD000-130.09020—20:26
20S. AhoC101030.121005019:22
24S. JarvisR000010.13310—19:21
7D. OrlovD101+110.07312—19:21
5J. ChatfieldD011+100.01000—18:09
59J. GuentzelC011010.01000017:31
48J. MartinookL000010.13100—17:22
37A. SvechnikovR022+100.02220—16:54
11J. StaalC000010.003203316:44
86T. TeravainenC011000.16110016:27
77T. DeAngeloD000-130.05110—15:45
88M. NecasC011010.21100014:43
82J. KotkaniemiC000+110.002205013:44
18J. DruryC000+120.09212009:41
92E. KuznetsovC000000.000003809:16
23S. NoesenR000000.04200—07:40
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)31292.9352.06+0.0660:00

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).