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Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV TBS, truTV·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 3:44 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 34, CAR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (33 saves, .971), 3. Brady Skjei (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI18013013134
CARCAR1706213326

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Kuznetsov(1)PPG
    M. Necas (1), B. Skjei (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:35
  2. NYI
    K. MacLean(1)
    A. Lee (1), A. Romanov (1)
    snapxG 0.62win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:20

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(1)
    B. Skjei (2), E. Kuznetsov (1)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:44
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(1)EN
    B. Pesce (1), J. Drury (1)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:28

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:22NYIAnders Lee · Holdingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 10:45CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min

2nd

  • 5:29NYIMatt Martin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 11:28CARStefan Noesen · High stickingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
  • 13:27NYIKyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 3:44 — CAR 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.47S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.22J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.00J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
2.51 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
34
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
27
21
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14B. HorvatC000-150.243103121:29
8N. DobsonD000010.32010—21:23
6R. PulockD000-100.00130—20:59
28A. RomanovD011+100.01110—20:41
3A. PelechD000-100.00320—20:33
13M. BarzalC000-150.16000020:13
2M. ReillyD000020.01000—18:39
29B. NelsonC000-220.051005618:00
21K. PalmieriC000-120.44032017:40
53C. CizikasC000020.06220015:52
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00030—15:16
27A. LeeL011070.19212—15:02
20H. FaschingR000020.10010—14:18
18P. EngvallL000+140.230004013:05
32K. MacLeanC101+110.641305012:10
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.02200—11:11
17M. MartinL000-100.003026710:14
10S. HolmstromR000010.040002009:37
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)25232.9202.61+0.6159:25

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).