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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4. The lead changed hands 4 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 14:27 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were PIT 44, NYI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.8 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 40 of 44 (.909). Three stars: 1. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Carter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Carter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT115213116444
NYINYI11221129532

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(34)
    S. Holmstrom (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:56
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell(15)
    M. Bunting (35), E. Malkin (40)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:29

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(27)PPG
    S. Crosby (51), E. Karlsson (45)
    deflectedxG 0.44win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:14
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(10)
    A. Romanov (15), S. Bolduc (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:19
  3. PIT
    V. Puustinen(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:37
  4. NYI
    K. Palmieri(30)PPG
    B. Nelson (35), M. Reilly (18)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:44

3rd period

  1. NYI
    S. Bolduc(2)PPG
    R. Pulock (14), R. Iskhakov (1)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:36
  2. PIT
    J. Carter(11)PPG
    S. Crosby (52), M. Bunting (36)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-4
    10:56
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(15)
    K. MacLean (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +37 ptsVideo
    4-5
    14:27

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:39PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

2nd

  • 5:53NYISebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 18:30PITJack St. Ivany · Interferencedrawn by Ruslan Iskhakov2 min
  • 19:44PITserved by V. Puustinen · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 9:06NYIRobert Bortuzzo · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 19:30NYIBrock Nelson · Ps covering puck in crease0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 3rd 14:27 — NYI 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.31R. Iskhakov · On goal · xG 0.20K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.19B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.18O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.15B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.14K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Iskhakov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
3.84 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
1.52 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT58%42%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
44
Shots on goal
32
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
8
12
Blocked shots
26
14
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-110.04120—25:42
65E. KarlssonD011040.17000—23:16
28M. PetterssonD000+100.01100—22:26
73P. JosephD000-210.01120—21:01
87S. CrosbyC022-130.603005519:47
17B. RustR000-140.19022—19:22
71E. MalkinC112050.690006718:31
8M. BuntingL022040.42000—18:16
10D. O'ConnorL000010.22000—17:55
77J. CarterC101040.571108114:50
67R. RakellR101030.14110—14:26
20L. EllerC000030.120003312:54
3J. St. IvanyD000010.01012—12:42
5R. SheaD000000.00200—12:41
18J. PuljujarviR000030.13210—11:22
19R. SmithR000030.20110—11:09
43J. HarkinsC000-110.03010011:07
48V. PuustinenR101030.21000—09:53
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)32275.8443.18-1.8257:34

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).