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Islanders at Penguins
NHL

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
FinalTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 2:20 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were NYI 38, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (37 saves, .974), 2. Lars Eller (2 G), 3. Noel Acciari (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Nedeljkovic37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    PIT
    L. Eller2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    N. Acciari1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI014012112138
PITPIT111112115338

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    L. Eller(5)
    J. Harkins (2), V. Puustinen (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:18

2nd period

  1. PIT
    N. Acciari(3)
    D. O'Connor (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:20

3rd period

  1. NYI
    S. Bolduc(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:51
  2. PIT
    L. Eller(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.64win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:17

Penalties

NYI 25 PIM·PIT 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:07PITJohn Ludvig · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 0:07NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by John Ludvig5 min
  • 11:31PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 18:26NYIBo Horvat · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 19:33NYISimon Holmstrom · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 7:22NYIserved by M. Martin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:34NYIAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 8:34PITRickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Ilya Sorokin2 min
  • 16:29PITDrew O'Connor · Holdingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

3rd

  • 19:25NYIserved by K. Palmieri · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 19:25NYIBo Horvat · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Noel Acciari, 2nd 2:20 — PIT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.64J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.58E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.12J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.11L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.11M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 4.3 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPIT
3.31 G
All situations
2 G4.3
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI52%48%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPIT
38
Shots on goal
38
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/4
25
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
14
25
Blocked shots
18
0
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-210.24220—27:19
28A. RomanovD000-110.01052—22:17
25S. AhoD000000.01120—20:19
14B. HorvatC000020.1811124019:58
29B. NelsonC000-260.733102518:46
13M. BarzalC000060.250106718:39
24S. MayfieldD000010.05210—17:58
21K. PalmieriC000-220.140005017:05
27A. LeeL000040.70410—16:30
2M. ReillyD000030.02030—15:41
20H. FaschingR000-220.07010—15:11
44J. PageauC000000.005004415:01
10S. HolmstromR000010.01022—12:58
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.08320—12:50
4S. BolducD101010.10120—12:22
53C. CizikasC000-130.523003311:41
16J. GauthierR000010.02110—11:06
17M. MartinL000030.18105—08:42
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)37352.9463.11+1.1159:02

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).