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Islanders at Penguins
NHL

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
Final/OTTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4 in overtime, Adam Pelech scoring at 0:57. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Pelech's goal at 0:57 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 33, PIT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.9 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Pelech (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Drew O'Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Pelech1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    D. O'Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI0133121711533
PITPIT11211321600441

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    M. Pettersson(3)
    R. Rakell (16), E. Karlsson (32)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:48

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(24)
    R. Pulock (5), A. Pelech (7)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:40
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(17)
    I. Sorokin (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:37
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:15
  4. PIT
    L. Eller(10)
    C. Ruhwedel (3), R. Graves (7)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:35

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Reilly(4)
    B. Nelson (21), A. Lee (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:42
  2. PIT
    V. Puustinen(2)
    K. Letang (28), R. Smith (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:06
  3. PIT
    D. O'Connor(7)
    E. Malkin (26)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +37 ptsVideo
    4-4
    13:02

Overtime

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(1)
    M. Barzal (42), B. Horvat (27)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    0:57

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:41PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

2nd

  • 4:28NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 11:10PITRickard Rakell · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 16:35NYIserved by O. Wahlstrom · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 19:27NYIMike Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Pelech, OT 0:57 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.22B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.20L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.18S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.12V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.11R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11M. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.10M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08V. Puustinen · Goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03C. White · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPIT
2.65 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.95 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI43%57%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
41
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14B. HorvatC011-130.281005524:07
3A. PelechD112+230.08100—23:48
6R. PulockD011+110.00020—22:34
13M. BarzalC112+120.120226022:06
29B. NelsonC112+281.010002320:10
8N. DobsonD000020.13010—19:17
28A. RomanovD000010.01500—18:43
27A. LeeL011010.03410—18:34
24S. MayfieldD000-110.02210—18:14
21K. PalmieriC000+100.00200016:45
2M. ReillyD101-120.07202—15:22
44J. PageauC000+110.021103514:52
18P. EngvallL000030.02020—14:37
10S. HolmstromR101+130.64000—11:48
26O. WahlstromR000010.09210—11:01
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.01100—09:15
53C. CizikasC000-100.003105008:31
17M. MartinL000-100.00400—07:07
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)41374.9023.10-0.9060:57

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).