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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV BSNX, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 7-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Dorofeyev's goal at 6:21 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 27, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 30 (.767), 3.5 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (4 A), 2. Noah Hanifin (2 A), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson4 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Hanifin2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0111719227
VGKVGK3715318730

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(12)SHG
    backhandxG 0.71win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:57
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:21
  3. VGK
    J. Eichel(30)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:35

2nd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:42
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:12

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    2:27
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy (37), J. Brodin (18)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:13
  3. VGK
    P. Cotter (18), A. Mantha (21)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    10:49
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.28Video
    2-7
    13:55

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:10VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Elbowingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 8:16MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 17:03MINAdam Beckman · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

2nd

  • 6:18VGKserved by P. Cotter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:45MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 12:35MINMarcus Johansson · Slashingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min

3rd

  • 14:28VGKZach Whitecloud · Cross checkingdrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev, 1st 6:21 — VGK 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.72W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.43N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.40K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.28J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.18P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.16N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.00
VGK7 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
2.32 G
All situations
7 G3.5
1.21 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011-230.15030—22:14
25J. BrodinD011+120.03120—20:29
24Z. BogosianD000+110.02110—20:24
5J. MiddletonD000-100.00120—19:47
97K. KaprizovL000050.44100—19:23
12M. BoldyL011030.36100—19:04
23M. RossiC000-320.102005618:43
38R. HartmanR101-150.140204017:19
22M. KhusnutdinovC101-110.290002516:47
47D. ChisholmD000-300.04120—16:24
90M. JohanssonL011-210.08002—15:55
4J. MerrillD000-300.00010—15:43
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.471045614:47
28L. OhgrenL000-120.14200—14:07
27J. LucchiniC000-100.002107512:25
10V. LettieriC000-100.00200010:51
11A. BeckmanL000-100.00302—10:50
15M. ShawC000-100.00300009:58
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)30237.7673.54-3.4659:54

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).