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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 3:30. The Wild scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 3:30 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.9, MIN 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 31, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (32 saves, .970), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    L. Thompson32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK013091712231
MINMIN071130805133

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy (34), B. Faber (34)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:44

3rd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.11win prob +35 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:43

Overtime

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.52win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:30

Penalties

VGK 15 PIM·MIN 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:49MINVinni Lettieri · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 5:58MINRyan Hartman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Logan Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 9:13MINserved by M. Johansson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:03VGKJack Eichel · Spearingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov5 min
  • 14:03VGKJack Eichel · Game misconduct10 min

OT

  • 3:30MINRyan Hartman · Abusive language10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 3:30 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.30M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.20M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.16R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.15M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.14M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.14M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.04D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
2.91 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK40%60%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
33
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/2
15
Penalty minutes
16
20
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
21
8
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD000020.19200—24:03
7A. PietrangeloD000+220.02030—23:11
71W. KarlssonC011+110.082103821:21
81J. MarchessaultR101+171.33100—21:01
20C. StephensonC011+100.032104220:50
27S. TheodoreD000000.03000—20:12
14N. HagueD000020.07210—19:01
3B. McNabbD000030.13240—17:16
49I. BarbashevL000010.11200—17:07
10N. RoyC000010.041201316:21
39A. ManthaR000010.13100—16:08
23A. MartinezD011+100.00020—15:30
16P. DorofeyevR000010.04100—14:21
9J. EichelC000050.42001510012:50
43P. CotterL000+120.114005012:38
21B. HowdenC000010.020105012:25
22M. AmadioR101+120.13010—11:11
55K. KolesarR000000.00000—10:04
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36L. Thompson(W)33321.9702.78+1.7863:30

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).