Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 3:30. The Wild scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 3:30 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.9, MIN 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 31, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (32 saves, .970), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G).
Three stars
- ★L. Thompson32 saves, .970

- ★★J. Marchessault1 G

- ★★★K. Kaprizov1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-116:44
3rd period
1-113:43
Overtime
2-13:30
Penalties
1st
- 3:49
Vinni Lettieri · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
- 5:58
Ryan Hartman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Logan Thompson2 min
2nd
- 9:13
served by M. Johansson · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 14:03
Jack Eichel · Spearingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov5 min
- 14:03
Jack Eichel · Game misconduct10 min
OT
- 3:30
Ryan Hartman · Abusive language10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 3:30 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.91 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.8
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.0
- 1.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.78
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 16
- 20
- Hits
- 13
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 8
- Giveaways
- 5
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















