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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Vegas Golden Knights
3
FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 6:28 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 29, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (2 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Pietrangelo2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21404311529
VGKVGK26014110330

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(27)
    N. Roy (19), A. Pietrangelo (22)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:22
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(9)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (28), R. Hartman (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:48
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(22)
    M. Boldy (19), K. Kaprizov (29)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:09
  4. VGK
    M. Amadio(7)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (23), B. Brisson (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:45

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(14)
    M. Boldy (20), B. Faber (28)
    pokexG 0.20win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:28
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(18)
    R. Hartman (12), B. Faber (29)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:29
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(16)
    C. Stephenson (20), Z. Whitecloud (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:40
  4. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(23)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.88win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:38

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:09VGKSheldon Rempal · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 8:51VGKserved by K. Kolesar · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:49VGKBrayden McNabb · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 16:21MINDakota Mermis · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

2nd

  • 3:18MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 7:35MINBrandon Duhaime · Interferencedrawn by Daniil Miromanov2 min
  • 16:40MINMarcus Johansson · Interferencedrawn by Mark Stone2 min

3rd

  • 3:05MINJon Merrill · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 3rd 6:28 — MIN 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.15J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.07S. Rempal · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.05B. Brisson · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brisson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.03D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03B. Brisson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brisson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
4.04 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G0.7
1.11 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN67%33%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD022+120.06120—26:31
25J. BrodinD000+220.08000—22:28
14J. Eriksson EkC202+241.291026522:05
24Z. BogosianD000000.02210—20:43
97K. KaprizovL022+160.62100—19:47
12M. BoldyL123+270.910003318:03
5J. MiddletonD000-200.00220—17:46
36M. ZuccarelloR101+130.360106717:26
90M. JohanssonL000-110.06002—17:17
38R. HartmanR022030.172006714:47
89F. GaudreauC000+100.021006714:22
6D. MermisD000+100.01132—13:47
23M. RossiC101010.361004413:45
4J. MerrillD000+100.00112—13:07
21B. DuhaimeL000+100.00402—12:55
26C. DewarC000000.001005009:35
27J. LucchiniC000000.00010008:13
10V. LettieriC000000.02400007:59
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)30273.9002.09-0.9160:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).