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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸6
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV KCOP-13, SN1·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olen Zellweger's goal at 7:01 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 7% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 27, ANA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Silfverberg, 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andrei Kuzmenko (3 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Kuzmenko3 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2921028627
ANAANA0505312322

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(14)SHG
    B. Pachal (5), Y. Sharangovich (28)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:54
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(27)
    M. Pospisil (13), O. Kylington (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:53

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(19)PPG
    N. Kadri (43), M. Weegar (30)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:43
  2. CGY
    C. Zary(13)
    J. Huberdeau (39), D. Hunt (4)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    18:28

3rd period

  1. ANA
    S. Colangelo(1)
    I. Lundestrom (6), R. Gudas (12)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:54
  2. ANA
    F. Vatrano(34)
    T. Zegras (8), J. LaCombe (14)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    6:13
  3. ANA
    O. Zellweger(2)
    C. Fowler (32), T. Terry (34)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:01
  4. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(20)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (40), N. Kadri (44)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    14:22
  5. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(21)
    M. Pospisil (14), M. Weegar (31)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:19

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·ANA 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:55CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Bo Groulx2 min
  • 10:08CGYBrayden Pachal · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 10:23ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

2nd

  • 5:04ANABo Groulx · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 5:43ANAserved by T. Zegras · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:31ANAIsac Lundeström · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 14:09ANAAlex Killorn · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 14:09CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

3rd

  • 13:58ANARadko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Walker Duehr2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Olen Zellweger, 3rd 7:01 — ANA 7% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Colangelo · Goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.15B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.13S. Colangelo · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.13L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Groulx · Missed · xG 0.11A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08B. Groulx · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.07R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.06U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Goal · xG 0.01B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.01B. Groulx · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.00O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
4.16 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY83%17%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.97 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
27
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
24
9
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD022+100.01110—23:43
4R. AnderssonD000000.13002—21:50
58O. KylingtonD011+110.00120—21:17
62D. MiromanovD000+110.05020—20:07
10J. HuberdeauL022020.31012—18:05
91N. KadriC123+260.710004017:43
17Y. SharangovichC011-130.210205017:40
96A. KuzmenkoL303+141.28010—16:49
88A. MangiapaneL101-110.33000—16:32
11M. BacklundC000-200.060005716:22
47C. ZaryC101020.180104416:10
94B. PachalD011030.04112—15:43
28N. OkhotiukD000-100.03210—14:02
76M. PospisilC022+230.5740010013:18
15D. HuntL011000.00900—13:11
27M. CoronatoR000000.15000—12:29
21K. RooneyC000000.003106711:06
71W. DuehrR000010.03200—10:26
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)22193.8641.84-1.1659:27

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).