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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Fowler's goal at 1:52 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 29, CGY 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Olen Zellweger (3 A), 2. Alex Killorn (2 G), 3. Andrei Kuzmenko (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    O. Zellweger3 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Killorn2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Kuzmenko2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11315311529
CGYCGY0621216324

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(19)
    O. Zellweger (4), B. Leason (11)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:03

2nd period

  1. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(29)PPG
    N. Kadri (40), M. Weegar (27)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:30
  2. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(16)
    N. Kadri (41), M. Pospisil (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:26
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(20)PPG
    L. Carlsson (16), O. Zellweger (5)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:36

3rd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(5)
    T. Zegras (5), O. Zellweger (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:52
  2. ANA
    A. Killorn(16)
    T. Terry (31)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:09
  3. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(17)
    M. Pospisil (12), M. Weegar (28)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:34
  4. ANA
    A. Killorn(17)
    J. LaCombe (13), T. Terry (32)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:14

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:02ANAJakob Silfverberg · Holdingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

2nd

  • 2:25ANAserved by Ben Meyers · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:45CGYBrayden Pachal · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Cam Fowler, 3rd 1:52 — ANA 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.15A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.10C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.09A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 1.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
2.25 G
All situations
3 G1.6
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA63%37%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 1.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
24
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
60J. LaCombeD011+110.03010—23:13
4C. FowlerD101020.04000—21:22
19T. TerryR123+140.56020—21:06
17A. KillornL202+130.38120—21:04
28G. LindstromD000+200.00230—20:49
91L. CarlssonC011+100.000003319:41
5U. VaakanainenD000010.01010—18:43
11T. ZegrasC011+120.2430010018:25
51O. ZellwegerD033+110.04200—18:19
16R. StromeC000020.010005018:17
77F. VatranoR000060.270103317:04
21I. LundestromC000010.010003517:00
37W. LagessonD000000.06110—15:53
33J. SilfverbergR000000.00102—15:22
20B. LeasonR011+120.18120—13:50
23M. McTavishC101+140.350006706:32
39B. MeyersC000000.002005005:49
44R. JohnstonL000000.00400—05:26
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)24213.8751.56-1.4460:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).