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Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSSC, SN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 7:49 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were CGY 44, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 2 A), 2. Lukas Dostal (41 saves, .953), 3. Blake Coleman.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal41 saves, .953
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11212517344
ANAANA0130903025

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    C. Zary (10), E. Lindholm (14)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:24

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:49

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.76win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:00

Penalties

CGY 13 PIM·ANA 19 PIM

1st

  • 8:51ANAFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 2:52CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 7:33ANAserved by M. McTavish · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:31CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 12:28ANAAdam Henrique · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 13:56ANARadko Gudas · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor Zary4 min

3rd

  • 1:26CGYNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 3:33ANALeo Carlsson · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 13:09CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:56ANASam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 19:56ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by A.J. Greer5 min
  • 19:56CGYA.J. Greer · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 2nd 7:49 — CGY 69% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA0 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
4.42 G
All situations
0 G1.5
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
2.01 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY83%17%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
44
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/7
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
19
14
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000030.07240—25:22
28E. LindholmC123+140.702205323:10
55N. HanifinD000+110.06140—22:20
17Y. SharangovichC011+130.55000022:02
8C. TanevD000+110.05030—21:24
91N. KadriC011+140.180125618:43
52M. WeegarD000020.09224—18:11
11M. BacklundC000040.530005018:08
20B. ColemanL000030.2900010017:16
47C. ZaryC011+130.10000016:47
10J. HuberdeauL000060.43000—15:18
76M. PospisilC000+130.11200013:23
48D. GilbertD000+100.00210—12:53
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00012—11:33
57N. DeSimoneD101+120.03000—10:38
18A. GreerL101+120.83225—09:20
29D. DubeC000030.36100008:13
63A. RuzickaC000000.030005007:19
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)252501.0001.49+1.4960:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).