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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 5:40 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were CBJ 32, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (3 A), 3. Kirill Marchenko (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ19111012232
TBLTBL110111312533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(44)
    N. Kucherov (94), A. Duclair (17)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:31
  2. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(22)
    C. Sillinger (18), D. Severson (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:17

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(23)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (48), Z. Werenski (44)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:13
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(37)PPG
    N. Kucherov (95), V. Hedman (63)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:17

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(20)
    B. Hagel (47), S. Stamkos (38)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:40
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(38)
    B. Hagel (48), E. Cernak (11)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    5:56
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(39)EN
    N. Kucherov (96)
    wristxG 0.67Video
    2-5
    17:57

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:48TBLBrandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by David Jiricek2 min
  • 6:49TBLserved by M. Chaffee · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:17CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

3rd

  • 11:07CBJJustin Danforth · Hookingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 3rd 5:40 — TBL 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.67A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.34B. Point · Missed · xG 0.19A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.17B. Point · Goal · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 3.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
2.12 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ41%59%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
39
14
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011-120.06120—26:15
42A. TexierL000-100.07410—23:03
9I. ProvorovD000-100.00110—22:32
78D. SeversonD011020.09112—22:19
4C. SillingerC011-100.241403220:25
86K. MarchenkoR202-140.21220—20:21
44E. GudbransonD000-140.03010—19:21
13J. GaudreauL011-230.17010—18:18
17J. DanforthR000-130.471024616:44
10D. VoronkovL000-240.392005016:30
24M. OlivierR000-110.0270010015:31
7S. KuralyC000-130.092006215:25
82M. PyyhtiaL000-130.09000—14:53
77N. BlankenburgD000-100.05200—13:46
55D.JiricekD000-110.01010—13:00
16B. GaunceC000020.092003309:06
67J. MalatestaL000000.00200—09:02
72C. MeyerR000000.00100—01:26
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)32284.8752.65-1.3559:03

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).