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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸4
FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Gudbranson's goal at 9:24 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.1, CBJ 3.3; shots on goal were TBL 29, CBJ 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Matt Tomkins stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Elvis Merzlikins stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (27 saves, .931), 2. Erik Gudbranson (1 G), 3. Boone Jenner (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins27 saves, .931
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Gudbranson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL01121206229
CBJCBJ11105312428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(1)
    D. Voronkov (2), C. Sillinger (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:29

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:53
  2. TBL
    C. Sheary(1)
    S. Stamkos (6), E. Cernak (1)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:42

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    B. Jenner(5)
    Z. Werenski (5), D. Severson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:41
  2. CBJ
    E. Gudbranson(1)
    E. Bemstrom (1), A. Fantilli (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:24
  3. CBJ
    J. Gaudreau(1)EN
    I. Provorov (8), B. Jenner (2)
    wristxG 0.69win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:49

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:42CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min

2nd

  • 7:09CBJDamon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Alex Barré-Boulet2 min
  • 10:18CBJBoone Jenner · Embellishment2 min
  • 10:18TBLWaltteri Merela · Interferencedrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 13:24CBJJack Roslovic · Slashingdrawn by Alex Barré-Boulet2 min
  • 18:10TBLCalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

3rd

  • 3:46TBLTanner Jeannot · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 12:52TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 19:05TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Gudbranson, 3rd 9:24 — CBJ 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.69C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.20J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.19D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.18B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.16D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.15K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.12D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.09K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.07D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.04S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 3.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.12 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL59%41%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
29
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
22
3
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-120.15010—23:26
77V. HedmanD000-220.12102—23:09
91S. StamkosC112+160.690106020:22
86N. KucherovR000-250.49100—20:04
71A. CirelliC000-210.270206719:27
21B. PointC000-210.250006019:21
20N. PaulL000+130.261004118:55
81E. CernakD011010.01130—18:16
38B. HagelL000-210.08012—17:22
43D. RaddyshD000010.02020—16:44
44C. de HaanD000010.01312—16:31
48N. PerbixD000020.02020—14:34
12A. Barré-BouletC000000.080105013:19
73C. ShearyL101+110.24120—13:06
84T. JeannotL000-110.24312—12:36
39W. MerelaC000010.13302009:49
11L. GlendeningC000-100.002004408:52
23M. EyssimontC000-100.05100007:25
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90M. Tomkins(L)27243.8892.60-0.4057:47

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).