Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 0:49 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.3 to 3.6; shots on goal were TBL 37, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .943), 2. Boone Jenner (2 G), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .943

- ★★B. Jenner2 G

- ★★★B. Hagel1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-015:40
2nd period
2-00:49
3rd period
3-00:23
3-112:22
3-215:50
4-219:12
Penalties
1st
- 13:32
Kent Johnson · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Paul4 min
2nd
- 5:22
Erik Cernak · High stickingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
- 19:50
Damon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min
- 19:50
Darren Raddysh · Fightingdrawn by Damon Severson5 min
- 19:50
Damon Severson · Fightingdrawn by Darren Raddysh5 min
3rd
- 3:05
Victor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
- 11:26
Michael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
- 11:26
Michael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
- 11:26
Ivan Provorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
- 11:26
Ivan Provorov · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
- 14:39
Tyler Motte · Slashingdrawn by Dmitri Voronkov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 0:49 — 62% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.63 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.3
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.9
- 0.72 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 4.16
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 8
- Hits
- 18
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 1
- Giveaways
- 4
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















