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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 0:49 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.3 to 3.6; shots on goal were TBL 37, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .943), 2. Boone Jenner (2 G), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL113111213437
CBJCBJ09014212235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(14)PPG
    B. Hagel (28), D. Raddysh (16)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:40

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel (29), N. Paul (15)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:49

3rd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(22)PPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:23
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:22
  3. CBJ
    B. Jenner(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:50
  4. TBL
    B. Hagel(19)EN
    snapxG 0.56win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:12

Penalties

TBL 15 PIM·CBJ 15 PIM

1st

  • 13:32CBJKent Johnson · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Paul4 min

2nd

  • 5:22TBLErik Cernak · High stickingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
  • 19:50CBJDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min
  • 19:50TBLDarren Raddysh · Fightingdrawn by Damon Severson5 min
  • 19:50CBJDamon Severson · Fightingdrawn by Darren Raddysh5 min

3rd

  • 3:05TBLVictor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 11:26TBLMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 11:26TBLMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 11:26CBJIvan Provorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 11:26CBJIvan Provorov · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 14:39TBLTyler Motte · Slashingdrawn by Dmitri Voronkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 0:49 — TBL 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.31K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.24B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.23E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.23S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.17B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.16K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.14K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.14S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.12I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.11K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.10A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.09M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.08B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.08A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.05K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.03J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ2 G · 4.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.63 G
All situations
2 G4.3
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.72 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL32%68%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 4.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
37
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/3
Power play
1/3
15
Penalty minutes
15
8
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
14
1
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011040.29002—23:50
81E. CernakD000+230.09112—22:27
7H. FleuryD000+120.08030—22:07
86N. KucherovR022020.16010—20:32
43D. RaddyshD011-110.03225—19:13
38B. HagelL123+220.77000—18:58
21B. PointC000-130.260105018:56
91S. StamkosC101-160.662007718:36
71A. CirelliC112+240.200004016:49
48N. PerbixD000010.01000—16:49
20N. PaulL112+120.350007015:10
78E. LillebergD000000.01130—13:17
11L. GlendeningC000020.030104413:11
64T. MotteC000020.441123312:06
12A. Barré-BouletC000000.00100011:50
73C. ShearyL000000.00010—11:25
23M. EyssimontC000010.08024010:20
41M. ChaffeeR000020.18010—09:13
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)35332.9434.26+2.2660:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).