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Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 5:53 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.0 to 1.1; shots on goal were DAL 44, CHI 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.9 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Petr Mrazek (42 saves, .955), 2. Seth Jones (1 G), 3. Connor Bedard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek42 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    CHI
    S. Jones1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01412317244
CHICHI063506317

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    C. Bedard(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:48
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:53
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:51
  4. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:37

3rd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:37

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

2nd

  • 3:42DALMatt Duchene · Slashingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 10:28CHIJaycob Megna · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 11:33CHIJarred Tinordi · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

3rd

  • 8:54DALserved by L. Stankoven · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:10CHIJason Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 17:28CHIColin Blackwell · Hookingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 17:28DALMason Marchment · Embellishment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, 2nd 5:53 — CHI 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.09S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.07L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.05C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.04K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.04K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02
CHI3 G · 1.1 xG · 20 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
4.02 G
All situations
3 G1.1
3.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL91%9%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.88 – 1.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
44
Shots on goal
17
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
27
5
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD022+130.02100—26:46
55T. HarleyD000-120.03200—22:45
21J. RobertsonL000030.64110—21:57
16J. PavelskiC011+120.310007020:57
24R. HintzC101050.610106720:50
3C. TanevD011020.04150—18:14
53W. JohnstonC000+130.251105018:10
23E. LindellD000-140.05020—17:37
14J. BennL101050.503006417:06
95M. DucheneC000030.330026715:10
20R. SuterD000010.01010—14:57
11L. StankovenC000010.02000014:51
5N. LundkvistD000+110.01000—12:58
27M. MarchmentL000030.42012—12:36
10T. DellandreaC000-100.220006711:50
18S. SteelC000-120.29010011:29
22M. BourqueC000020.171003310:56
12R. FaksaC000020.10100010:25
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)17143.8241.11-1.8957:20

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).