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Stars at Blackhawks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Chicago Blackhawks
1
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSWX·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Stars answered. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 14:54 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.7, CHI 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 30, CHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Mason Marchment (1 G), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G), 3. Boris Katchouk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Marchment1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    B. Katchouk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0809313330
CHICHI06119010135

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    B. Katchouk(4)
    Z. Sanford (4)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:56

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(14)PPG
    R. Hintz (20), J. Robertson (28)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:32
  2. DAL
    M. Marchment(14)
    E. Dadonov (9), J. Hanley (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:54
  3. DAL
    J. Pavelski(17)EN
    R. Hintz (21), J. Benn (19)
    wristxG 0.65win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:37

Penalties

DAL 9 PIM·CHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:58CHISeth Jones · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 9:24DALMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 9:24DALMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

2nd

  • 4:04CHINikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 16:08DALSam Steel · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Donato5 min
  • 16:08CHIRyan Donato · Fightingdrawn by Sam Steel5 min

3rd

  • 2:24CHIJaycob Megna · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 3rd 14:54 — DAL 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.60B. Katchouk · Goal · xG 0.37A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.13R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.12C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.09A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.08L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.03K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
2.72 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL32%68%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
30
Shots on goal
35
69%
Faceoffs
31%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000030.08100—21:46
23E. LindellD000+140.10200—21:18
2J. HakanpääD000+110.01710—21:01
21J. RobertsonL011030.21110—18:55
16J. PavelskiC101+120.880206718:26
5N. LundkvistD000-110.01110—18:17
95M. DucheneC101030.110006018:05
91T. SeguinC000000.551006417:53
24R. HintzC022+100.000108017:50
20R. SuterD000020.04000—17:27
44J. HanleyD011+100.01240—16:14
53W. JohnstonC000000.051006715:00
27M. MarchmentL101+130.10004—14:00
14J. BennL011+140.101009113:43
18S. SteelC000-100.001055012:32
63E. DadonovL011+100.07010—12:26
12R. FaksaC000030.234006411:26
15C. SmithC000-110.14110009:41
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)21201.9521.89+0.8931:11
41S. Wedgewood141401.0000.71+0.7128:49

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).