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Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 8-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Suter's goal at 17:16 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were CHI 24, DAL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 2.9 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (23 saves, .958), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mason Marchment (3 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    S. Wedgewood23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Marchment3 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI060919124
DALDAL317210314841

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:35
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:16
  3. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:11

2nd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    3:43
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    12:50

3rd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.13Video
    1-5
    0:39
  2. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.19Video
    1-6
    4:46
  3. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.06Video
    1-7
    14:29
  4. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.04Video
    1-8
    18:58

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:56CHINick Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 1:38CHITyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 5:33DALJani Hakanpää · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Petr Mrazek2 min
  • 11:06CHIJarred Tinordi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:58DALMason Marchment · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Petr Mrazek2 min
  • 19:20DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Suter, 1st 17:16 — DAL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.36W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.21M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.21R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.19R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.16M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.14M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.14C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.13W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.12R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.08N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.08W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.07T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05R. Suter · Goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL8 G · 3.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsDAL
1.51 G
All situations
8 G3.8
1.30 G
Even strength
7 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI15%85%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
41
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
5
13
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000-110.03020—22:11
5C. MurphyD000-210.01120—21:39
55K. KorchinskiD000-210.02020—21:38
46L. CrevierD000-110.00010—18:32
16J. DickinsonC000010.042006118:17
70C. GuttmanC011-220.06100017:48
23P. KurashevC101-420.25000017:15
17N. FolignoL000-230.065022917:02
41I. PhillipsD000-510.18000—16:30
8R. DonatoC000-310.05200016:29
27L. ReichelL000-130.183003316:14
91A. BeauvillierR000030.311006715:58
43C. BlackwellC000000.032005715:53
98C. BedardC011-320.171102015:45
25J. TinordiD000-300.00442—14:36
58M. EntwistleR000-300.014103811:49
52R. JohnsonC000-210.06300010:37
90T. JohnsonC000-110.07002006:03
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)31256.8063.09-2.9144:46
40A. Soderblom1082.8000.74-1.2615:14

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).