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Blues at Predators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the St. Louis Blues 6-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 19:29 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 78% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 5.2 to 4.6; shots on goal were STL 47, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 44 of 47 (.936), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G, 1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (44 saves, .936), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros44 saves, .936
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    A. Beauvillier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL120014213347
NSHNSH110210311631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(20)
    R. O'Reilly (37), F. Forsberg (44)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:31
  2. STL
    B. Saad(26)
    R. Thomas (52)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:27

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(42)PPG
    G. Nyquist (47), R. O'Reilly (38)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:13
  2. NSH
    A. Beauvillier(5)PPG
    G. Nyquist (48), L. Evangelista (19)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:29

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. McCarron(12)
    K. Sherwood (15)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:09
  2. STL
    J. Neighbours(27)
    J. Faulk (27), T. Krug (34)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:21
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(26)PPG
    J. Faulk (28), P. Buchnevich (33)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:45
  4. NSH
    F. Forsberg(43)EN
    G. Nyquist (49), R. McDonagh (26)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +4 pts
    3-5
    18:16
  5. NSH
    M. Jankowski(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.55
    3-6
    19:23

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:22NSHColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 14:38NSHRyan O'Reilly · Slashingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 14:38STLTorey Krug · Slashingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 0:30STLBrandon Saad · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 1:37NSHKiefer Sherwood · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 12:09NSHAlexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 16:11NSHLuke Schenn · Boardingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 18:16STLAlexey Toropchenko · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

3rd

  • 7:25NSHJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 7:25STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 8:59STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 17:30NSHJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 18:51NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSTL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 19:29 — NSH 78% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.94M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.55M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.31F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.22F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.20R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.18A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.16M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.16J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.13T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.11M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.10A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.10M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 4.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNSH
5.23 G
All situations
4 G4.6
3.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.61 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL76%24%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.00 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNSH
47
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/6
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
16
28
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD011-120.50322—26:36
18R. ThomasC011-120.110125423:50
72J. FaulkD022-250.41110—22:37
89P. BuchnevichL011-340.342322921:38
4N. LeddyD000+120.06130—21:29
63J. NeighboursL101-130.3040010021:27
55C. ParaykoD000010.11030—21:22
25J. KyrouR101-340.66000—19:40
10B. SchennC000-250.434104519:27
20B. SaadL101+160.75002—17:24
13A. ToropchenkoR000-120.66202—13:25
12K. HayesR000050.550002011:35
26N. WalkerL000010.102203311:02
42K. KapanenR000010.0330010010:45
79S. BlaisL000020.19400—09:15
76Z. BolducR000010.02020—09:14
51M. KesselD000000.00000—07:57
75T. TuckerD000010.02210—07:45
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)29254.8623.13-0.8755:36

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).