Skip to content
Predators at Blues
NHL

Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸8
St. Louis Blues
3
FinalTV BSSO, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the St. Louis Blues 8-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 7:25 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 35, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Jordan Binnington stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Evangelista (2 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Forsberg (2 G, 1 A), 3. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Sherwood1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH31441318835
STLSTL11918112339

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(10)
    G. Nyquist (12), J. Lauzon (2)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:57
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(3)
    C. Sissons (4), R. McDonagh (5)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:25
  3. NSH
    L. Evangelista(2)
    K. Sherwood (3), A. Carrier (6)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-0
    13:53
  4. STL
    P. Buchnevich(7)
    M. Scandella (2), R. Thomas (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:32

2nd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stastney(1)
    L. Evangelista (9), K. Sherwood (4)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:45
  2. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(10)PPG
    F. Forsberg (13), T. Barrie (8)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-1
    4:46
  3. NSH
    L. Evangelista(3)
    P. Tomasino (5), A. Carrier (7)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-1
    6:00
  4. STL
    R. Thomas(8)
    P. Buchnevich (6), B. Saad (5)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-2
    10:17
  5. NSH
    F. Forsberg(11)
    C. Smith (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    7-2
    17:29

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(5)PPG
    T. Krug (6), J. Kyrou (8)
    tip-inxG 0.16Video
    7-3
    5:23
  2. NSH
    K. Sherwood(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14Video
    8-3
    12:42

Penalties

NSH 13 PIM·STL 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:50NSHRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 13:25STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 13:25NSHJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min

2nd

  • 3:04STLNikita Alexandrov · Interferencedrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 3:58STLPavel Buchnevich · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 8:03STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 17:57STLOskar Sundqvist · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

3rd

  • 1:15NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 4:16NSHTyson Barrie · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 9:48STLSammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 16:06NSHGustav Nyquist · Slashingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNSH goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 1st 7:25 — NSH 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.22R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.20P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.19J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.14O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.10J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.10A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSTL
3.68 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.57 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH63%37%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSTL
35
Shots on goal
39
31%
Faceoffs
69%
1/5
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
15
11
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
6
12
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000+120.11020—22:56
22T. BarrieD011+120.06022—19:41
13Y. TreninC101+240.5911010018:41
27R. McDonaghD011+110.03012—18:39
90R. O'ReillyC101+320.360103118:17
45A. CarrierD022+310.02100—18:16
10C. SissonsC011010.221003617:46
9F. ForsbergL213+250.66002—17:11
3J. LauzonD011+100.00425—17:03
24S. StastneyD101+220.09010—16:02
26P. TomasinoR011+120.41010—15:36
14G. NyquistR011+120.11002—14:32
47M. McCarronC000010.041102714:08
36C. SmithR011+110.09110—13:56
77L. EvangelistaR213+250.38010—13:32
18L. FoudyC000+100.00120013:11
75J. ParssinenC000+200.130101113:01
44K. SherwoodL123+140.3010010010:25
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)39363.9232.81-0.1960:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).