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Hurricanes at Canadiens
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSSO, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 9:33 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 43% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were CAR 30, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pyotr Kochetkov (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juraj Slafkovský.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR08111211330
MTLMTL0801404026

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(9)SHG
    snapxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:33

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(33)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:42
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(29)EN
    J. Guentzel (44), S. Aho (52)
    snapxG 0.68win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:12

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 6:06MTLNick Suzuki · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 8:27CAREvgeny Kuznetsov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:51CARBrett Pesce · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 3:00MTLJordan Harris · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 11:48CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCAR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 2nd 9:33 — CAR 43% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.24N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.23A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.18J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.15A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMTL
3.32 G
All situations
0 G2.5
1.90 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR51%49%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
5
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000+110.07002—21:24
22B. PesceD000+100.00112—20:04
76B. SkjeiD000+110.04010—20:02
74J. SlavinD000+120.01010—19:52
7D. OrlovD000020.07030—18:51
20S. AhoC112+150.280007318:48
24S. JarvisR112+130.971003318:24
5J. ChatfieldD000000.03000—17:07
59J. GuentzelC022+120.17000016:40
37A. SvechnikovR000010.57010—15:48
86T. TeravainenC011+110.07000015:28
88M. NecasC000020.18020015:26
11J. StaalC101+120.242005614:01
92E. KuznetsovC000010.100023113:48
18J. DruryC000020.120208213:40
48J. MartinookL000020.10000—12:23
82J. KotkaniemiC000020.1210010011:28
23S. NoesenR000010.13000—10:46
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)262601.0002.54+2.5460:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).